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Up
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUpDownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
Total Value
$79.93
Combined PnL
-$508.37
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares533
Combined PnL-$512.24
Down2 traders
Total Value$79.93
Total Shares80
Combined PnL+$3.87
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 49.9¢ | $501.75 | — | -$500.34 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $63.95 | $64.6 | +$0.65 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.8¢ | $10.9 | — | -$10.9 | 41% 943-1372 (2315) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 64.6¢ | $12.1 | $15.33 | +$3.23 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
BY
ByteBadger92CTRInvested
$501.75
Value
—
PnL
-$500.34
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$63.95
Value
$64.6
PnL
+$0.65
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
13
13897651CTR<$100Invested
$10.9
Value
—
PnL
-$10.9
Record
41%
943-1372 (2315)
AS
asdcaxz<$100Invested
$12.1
Value
$15.33
PnL
+$3.23
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
SO
soswald1CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x912029a1...7612c9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794586200