Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 67%

Total Value

$97.98

Combined PnL

-$520.25

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares605

Combined PnL-$510.2

Up3 traders

Total Value$97.98

Total Shares98

Combined PnL-$10.05

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.7¢	$503.4	—	-$497.75	55% 2652-2154 (4806)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 76.6¢	$75.45	$75.83	+$0.37	41% 943-1372 (2315)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 90.4¢	$33.14	$20.12	-$11.1	50% 2434-2391 (4825)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$6.04	—	-$6.04	54% 1831-1588 (3419)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 21¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	39% 1076-1670 (2746)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 67¢	$1.36	$2.03	+$0.67	62% 3328-1998 (5326)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 2¢	$0.22	—	-$0.22	32% 810-1702 (2512)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 8.6¢	$2.25	—	-$2.25	38% 1088-1781 (2869)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 11.5¢	$2.68	—	-$2.68	49% 3855-3967 (7822)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$503.4

Value

—

PnL

-$497.75

Record

55%

2652-2154 (4806)

Invested

$75.45

Value

$75.83

PnL

+$0.37

Record

41%

943-1372 (2315)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$33.14

Value

$20.12

PnL

-$11.1

Record

50%

2434-2391 (4825)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$6.04

Value

—

PnL

-$6.04

Record

54%

1831-1588 (3419)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

39%

1076-1670 (2746)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.36

Value

$2.03

PnL

+$0.67

Record

62%

3328-1998 (5326)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.22

Value

—

PnL

-$0.22

Record

32%

810-1702 (2512)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.25

Value

—

PnL

-$2.25

Record

38%

1088-1781 (2869)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$2.68

Value

—

PnL

-$2.68

Record

49%

3855-3967 (7822)

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x3275b3c9...c292c0

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794585900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

13897651

Up — $75.83

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $20.12

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2.03

pspspsps5

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket