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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 21% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Down 21%

Total Value

$360.83

Combined PnL

-$462.38

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 14 top traders (21%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares522
Combined PnL-$498.97
Up11 traders
Total Value$360.83
Total Shares361
Combined PnL+$36.59
Down — 21%Up — 79%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500.9

Value

—

PnL

-$496.9

Record

55%

2652-2154 (4806)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$91.02

Value

$93.68

PnL

+$2.66

Record

38%

1088-1781 (2869)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$65.8

Value

$68.4

PnL

+$2.6

Record

32%

810-1702 (2512)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$36.54

Value

$44.32

PnL

+$7.78

Record

50%

2434-2391 (4825)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$33.92

Value

$37.92

PnL

+$4

Record

41%

943-1372 (2315)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Up

Invested

$34.5

Value

$45

PnL

+$10.5

Record

49%

1499-1549 (3048)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$21.98

Value

$28.85

PnL

+$6.87

Record

51%

2709-2618 (5327)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$20.44

Value

$18.2

PnL

-$2.24

Record

49%

3855-3967 (7822)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$12.64

Value

$8.11

PnL

-$4.53

Record

52%

4514-4226 (8740)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$4.12

Value

$9.36

PnL

+$5.24

Record

54%

1831-1588 (3419)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Up

Invested

$2.2

Value

$5

PnL

+$2.8

Record

47%

1647-1881 (3528)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.08

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.92

Record

62%

3328-1998 (5326)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.86

Value

—

PnL

-$1.86

Record

60%

3027-2022 (5049)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.21

Value

—

PnL

-$0.21

Record

50%

1120-1110 (2230)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9ce3abc8...f202e4
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794585300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$496.9

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $93.68

+$2.66

pspspsps5

Up — $68.4

+$2.6
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $44.32

+$7.78
13

13897651

Up — $37.92

+$4
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $45

+$10.5
SO

soswald1

Up — $28.85

+$6.87
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $18.2

-$2.24
BL

blue.birds

Up — $8.11

-$4.53
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $9.36

+$5.24
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