Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 37%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

-$689.91

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 20 top traders (40%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$872.07

Total Shares872

Combined PnL+$95.64

Up12 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares929

Combined PnL-$785.55

Down — 40%Up — 60%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$750	$710	+$4.69	51% 2709-2618 (5327)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50.7¢	$531.24	$500.52	+$12.49	55% 2652-2154 (4806)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$247.01	$500.52	+$253.75
└ Up leg	Upavg 50.7¢	$253.16	—	-$241.26
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 61.2¢	$223.06	—	-$223.06	50% 2434-2391 (4825)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR	Upavg 93.4¢	$157.9	—	-$157.9	39% 1076-1670 (2746)
13 13897651CTR	Upavg 58.1¢	$102.92	—	-$102.92	41% 943-1372 (2315)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 47.4¢	$78.22	—	-$78.22	54% 1831-1588 (3419)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 43.4¢	$68.6	—	-$61.29	52% 4514-4226 (8740)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 6¢	$2.6	$43.33	+$40.73	50% 1861-1835 (3696)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Upavg 66.2¢	$46.69	—	-$46.69	49% 3855-3967 (7822)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 91.8¢	$75.52	—	-$75.52	38% 1088-1781 (2869)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 49.3¢	$28.64	$58.04	+$29.4	49% 1499-1549 (3048)
ohioism<$100	Downavg 6¢	$1.26	$21	+$19.74	48% 1655-1778 (3433)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 93¢	$18.7	$20.11	+$1.41	47% 1170-1297 (2467)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 91.3¢	$23.44	$14.49	-$2.49	62% 3328-1998 (5326)
AS asdaefefCTR<$100	Upavg 43¢	$6.28	—	-$6.28	66% 2821-1429 (4250)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Upavg 65¢	$13	—	-$13	60% 3027-2022 (5049)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 43¢	$5.77	—	-$5.77	64% 1988-1133 (3121)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$9	—	-$9	49% 993-1031 (2024)
MayorMamdani<$100	Downavg 58¢	$2.9	$5	+$2.1	52% 2155-1994 (4149)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 23.6¢	$5.9	—	-$5.9	44% 1633-2119 (3752)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Downavg 44¢	$0.04	$0.1	+$0.06	47% 1647-1881 (3528)