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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Resolved Up. 30% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Down 30%

Total Value

$133.55

Combined PnL

-$495.8

Smart Money Signal

Down

3 of 10 top traders (30%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares539
Combined PnL-$509.42
Up7 traders
Total Value$133.55
Total Shares134
Combined PnL+$13.62
Down — 30%Up — 70%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

55%

2652-2154 (4806)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$30.82

Value

$37

PnL

+$6.18

Record

50%

2434-2391 (4825)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$26.7

Value

$29.01

PnL

+$2.31

Record

39%

1076-1670 (2746)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$26.41

Value

$27.54

PnL

+$1.13

Record

41%

943-1372 (2315)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Up

Invested

$18.48

Value

$20

PnL

+$1.52

Record

49%

3855-3967 (7822)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Up

Invested

$11.57

Value

$13

PnL

+$1.43

Record

54%

1831-1588 (3419)

PB
PBot-5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

—

PnL

-$5

Record

49%

993-1031 (2024)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$4.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.75

Record

51%

2709-2618 (5327)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$1.7

Value

$2

PnL

+$0.3

Record

62%

3328-1998 (5326)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.42

Value

—

PnL

-$4.42

Record

38%

1088-1781 (2869)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x7385eee4...614572
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794584700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $37

+$6.18
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $29.01

+$2.31
13

13897651

Up — $27.54

+$1.13
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $20

+$1.52
PL

ply-pm2

Up — $13

+$1.43
PB

PBot-5

CTR

Down — $0

-$5
SO

soswald1

Up — $5

+$0.75
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $2

+$0.3

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.42
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