Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Up 73%
5 arb excluded
$1.6K
-$48.07
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $750 | $658.67 | -$30.79 | 51% 2709-2618 (5327) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $334.83 | β | -$362.7 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $329.34 | $658.67 | +$331.92 | |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $521.33 | $471.14 | +$2.67 | 55% 2652-2154 (4806) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $243.08 | β | -$239.67 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.1Β’ | $236.21 | $471.14 | +$242.34 | |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Upavg 58.6Β’ | $114.8 | $136.68 | +$21.88 | 52% 4514-4226 (8740) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 20.2Β’ | $34.7 | β | -$34.7 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 58.6Β’ | $80.1 | $136.68 | +$56.58 | |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Upavg 58.9Β’ | $135.56 | $140.15 | +$4.59 | 41% 943-1372 (2315) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 58.9Β’ | $82.56 | $140.15 | +$57.59 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 38.9Β’ | $53 | β | -$53 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 32.2Β’ | $54.27 | $56.25 | +$1.98 | 54% 1831-1588 (3419) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 32.2Β’ | $31.32 | β | -$31.32 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 40.8Β’ | $22.95 | $56.25 | +$33.3 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Upavg 62.4Β’ | $86.27 | $69.06 | -$16.56 | 50% 2434-2391 (4825) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 48.4Β’ | $10.5 | $21.7 | +$11.2 | 38% 1088-1781 (2869) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $17.34 | β | -$17.34 | 60% 3027-2022 (5049) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 43.6Β’ | $16.7 | $20.2 | +$3.5 | 49% 3855-3967 (7822) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 32.6Β’ | $4.83 | $7.51 | +$2.68 | 49% 1967-2021 (3988) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 32Β’ | $5.01 | $8.31 | +$3.3 | 64% 1988-1133 (3121) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $5.04 | $6 | +$0.58 | 62% 3328-1998 (5326) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 51Β’ | $7.9 | $15.5 | +$7.59 | 49% 1499-1549 (3048) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Upavg 69.9Β’ | $5.59 | $8 | +$2.41 | 47% 1170-1297 (2467) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.6Β’ | $9.24 | β | -$9.24 | 44% 1633-2119 (3752) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 43Β’ | $36.2 | β | -$36.2 | 50% 1861-1835 (3696) |
Invested
$750
Value
$658.67
PnL
-$30.79
Record
51%
2709-2618 (5327)
Both legs:
Invested
$521.33
Value
$471.14
PnL
+$2.67
Record
55%
2652-2154 (4806)
Both legs:
Invested
$114.8
Value
$136.68
PnL
+$21.88
Record
52%
4514-4226 (8740)
Both legs:
Invested
$135.56
Value
$140.15
PnL
+$4.59
Record
41%
943-1372 (2315)
Both legs:
Invested
$54.27
Value
$56.25
PnL
+$1.98
Record
54%
1831-1588 (3419)
Both legs:
Invested
$86.27
Value
$69.06
PnL
-$16.56
Record
50%
2434-2391 (4825)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.5
Value
$21.7
PnL
+$11.2
Record
38%
1088-1781 (2869)
Invested
$17.34
Value
β
PnL
-$17.34
Record
60%
3027-2022 (5049)
Invested
$16.7
Value
$20.2
PnL
+$3.5
Record
49%
3855-3967 (7822)
Invested
$4.83
Value
$7.51
PnL
+$2.68
Record
49%
1967-2021 (3988)
Invested
$5.01
Value
$8.31
PnL
+$3.3
Record
64%
1988-1133 (3121)
Invested
$5.04
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.58
Record
62%
3328-1998 (5326)
Invested
$7.9
Value
$15.5
PnL
+$7.59
Record
49%
1499-1549 (3048)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$5.59
Value
$8
PnL
+$2.41
Record
47%
1170-1297 (2467)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$9.24
Value
β
PnL
-$9.24
Record
44%
1633-2119 (3752)
Invested
$36.2
Value
β
PnL
-$36.2
Record
50%
1861-1835 (3696)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage β excluded
13897651
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Up β $69.06

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $21.7
aaa221
CTRDown β $0
asdcaxz
Up β $20.2
dvasdkasodk
Up β $7.51