Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 53% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
19
Up 53%
$397.64
$-1.2K
Smart Money Signal
10 of 19 top traders (53%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$704.7 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
13 13897651 | Downavg 65.3¢ | $155.38 | $168.77 | +$13.4 | 39% 793-1263 (2056) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $75.39 | $88.76 | +$13.46 | 47% 995-1129 (2124) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $20.75 | $34.02 | +$13.27 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 61.7¢ | $32.94 | $24 | -$3.3 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $27.53 | $37.09 | +$9.56 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 66.4¢ | $16.6 | $25 | +$8.4 | 46% 1383-1602 (2985) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $8.4 | $10 | +$1.6 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 76.6¢ | $3.83 | $5 | +$1.17 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $4.45 | $5 | +$0.55 | 49% 1644-1742 (3386) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.51 | — | -$0.51 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $5.74 | — | +$0.14 | 66% 2417-1229 (3646) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 43.9¢ | $27.6 | — | -$27.6 | 51% 1497-1460 (2957) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.1¢ | $4.45 | — | -$4.45 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.2¢ | $3.83 | — | -$3.83 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $2.94 | — | -$2.94 | 38% 771-1268 (2039) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 44.4¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 52% 1846-1725 (3571) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 63% 1696-991 (2687) |
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$704.7
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
Invested
$155.38
Value
$168.77
PnL
+$13.4
Record
39%
793-1263 (2056)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$75.39
Value
$88.76
PnL
+$13.46
Record
47%
995-1129 (2124)
ohioism<$100Invested
$20.75
Value
$34.02
PnL
+$13.27
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$32.94
Value
$24
PnL
-$3.3
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$27.53
Value
$37.09
PnL
+$9.56
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
Invested
$16.6
Value
$25
PnL
+$8.4
Record
46%
1383-1602 (2985)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.6
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$3.83
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.17
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$4.45
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.55
Record
49%
1644-1742 (3386)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
Invested
$5.74
Value
—
PnL
+$0.14
Record
66%
2417-1229 (3646)
Invested
$27.6
Value
—
PnL
-$27.6
Record
51%
1497-1460 (2957)
Invested
$4.45
Value
—
PnL
-$4.45
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.83
Value
—
PnL
-$3.83
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Invested
$2.94
Value
—
PnL
-$2.94
Record
38%
771-1268 (2039)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
52%
1846-1725 (3571)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
63%
1696-991 (2687)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
CTRUp — $0
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
13897651
Down — $168.77
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $88.76
ohioism
Down — $34.02
asdcaxz
Down — $24
aaa221
Down — $37.09
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
Down — $25
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $10
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $5