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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 25%

Total Value

$144.15

Combined PnL

-$505.02

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 12 top traders (25%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares534
Combined PnL-$507.2
Down9 traders
Total Value$144.15
Total Shares144
Combined PnL+$2.18
Up — 25%Down — 75%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$54.89

Value

$59.69

PnL

+$4.8

Record

39%

793-1263 (2056)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$24.26

Value

$23.05

PnL

-$1.21

Record

49%

3564-3672 (7236)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$12.82

Value

$16.89

PnL

+$4.07

Record

60%

2584-1729 (4313)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$13.79

Value

$12.11

PnL

-$1.59

Record

63%

2841-1704 (4545)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$15.9

Value

$10

PnL

-$5.9

Record

51%

2307-2260 (4567)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$10.85

Value

$9.11

PnL

-$0.19

Record

39%

920-1454 (2374)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$5.46

Value

$7

PnL

+$1.54

Record

47%

995-1129 (2124)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.5

Record

63%

1696-991 (2687)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

46%

1383-1602 (2985)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$1.13

Value

$1.3

PnL

+$0.17

Record

51%

1497-1460 (2957)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.4

Value

—

PnL

-$5.4

Record

52%

4209-3942 (8151)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xafbe380e...d78aa9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794529500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
13

13897651

Down — $59.69

+$4.8
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $23.05

-$1.21
AA

aaa221

Down — $16.89

+$4.07
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.11

-$1.59
SO

soswald1

Down — $10

-$5.9

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $9.11

-$0.19

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $7

+$1.54
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

+$0.5
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.8
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