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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 40%

Total Value

$176.72

Combined PnL

-$485.37

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 10 top traders (40%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares570
Combined PnL-$513.1
Down6 traders
Total Value$176.72
Total Shares177
Combined PnL+$27.73
Up — 40%Down — 60%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$55.95

Value

$80

PnL

+$24.05

Record

51%

2307-2260 (4567)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$63.14

Value

$60.64

PnL

-$2.5

Record

39%

793-1263 (2056)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

49%

949-993 (1942)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8.2

Value

—

PnL

-$8.2

Record

47%

1444-1636 (3080)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.76

Value

$6.08

PnL

+$1.32

Record

63%

2841-1704 (4545)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$5.25

Value

$10

PnL

+$4.75

Record

39%

920-1454 (2374)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

49%

1644-1742 (3386)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.1

Value

—

PnL

-$3.1

Record

49%

3564-3672 (7236)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.8

Value

—

PnL

-$1.8

Record

52%

4209-3942 (8151)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xa0ee0642...43907d
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794529200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Down — $80

+$24.05
13

13897651

Down — $60.64

-$2.5
0X

0x50f7

Down — $15

+$0.02
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$8.2
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $6.08

+$1.32

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $10

+$4.75
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

+$0.1
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.1
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.8
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