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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$234.67

Combined PnL

-$476.26

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares552
Combined PnL-$503.38
Down7 traders
Total Value$234.67
Total Shares235
Combined PnL+$27.12
Up — 36%Down — 64%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$59.62

Value

$60.22

PnL

+$0.6

Record

73%

1126-414 (1540)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$40.83

Value

$60.28

PnL

+$19.45

Record

51%

2307-2260 (4567)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$34.93

Value

$41.54

PnL

+$6.61

Record

39%

793-1263 (2056)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$27.9

Value

$26

PnL

-$1.9

Record

49%

3564-3672 (7236)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$30.45

Value

$25

PnL

-$4.45

Record

52%

4209-3942 (8151)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$9.81

Value

$15.62

PnL

+$5.81

Record

38%

953-1575 (2528)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$5

Value

$6

PnL

+$1

Record

63%

2841-1704 (4545)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.69

Value

—

PnL

-$2.69

Record

39%

920-1454 (2374)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

46%

1383-1602 (2985)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.25

Value

—

PnL

-$0.25

Record

33%

699-1410 (2109)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x31d6c073...76a9f7
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794528300

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500

BoneOhio

Down — $60.22

+$0.6
SO

soswald1

Down — $60.28

+$19.45
13

13897651

Down — $41.54

+$6.61
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $26

-$1.9
BL

blue.birds

Down — $25

-$4.45
AN

antsaslyku

Down — $15.62

+$5.81
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $6

+$1

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.69
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.44
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