Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 33%
$106.16
-$494.86
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $32.72 | $33.74 | +$1.01 | 33% 699-1410 (2109) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $30.99 | $25.21 | -$5.78 | 39% 793-1263 (2056) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 61.5¢ | $13.98 | $22.72 | +$8.74 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $12.6 | $15.3 | +$2.7 | 44% 1391-1787 (3178) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $9.27 | $5 | -$0.02 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 71.6¢ | $3 | $4.19 | +$1.19 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.39 | — | -$1.39 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$32.72
Value
$33.74
PnL
+$1.01
Record
33%
699-1410 (2109)
Invested
$30.99
Value
$25.21
PnL
-$5.78
Record
39%
793-1263 (2056)
Invested
$13.98
Value
$22.72
PnL
+$8.74
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$12.6
Value
$15.3
PnL
+$2.7
Record
44%
1391-1787 (3178)
Invested
$9.27
Value
$5
PnL
-$0.02
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$3
Value
$4.19
PnL
+$1.19
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$1.39
Value
—
PnL
-$1.39
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)