Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Up 60%
$134.07
$-1.3K
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$743.45 | 51% 2307-2260 (4567) |
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2475-1962 (4437) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $94.49 | $95.44 | +$0.95 | 39% 920-1454 (2374) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 26.2¢ | $27.27 | — | -$27.27 | 52% 4209-3942 (8151) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $13.74 | $17.54 | +$3.8 | 60% 2584-1729 (4313) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $4.65 | $15 | +$10.35 | 48% 1394-1530 (2924) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $19.54 | — | -$19.54 | 39% 793-1263 (2056) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.6¢ | $13.48 | — | -$13.48 | 49% 3564-3672 (7236) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $5.6 | $6.09 | +$0.5 | 63% 2841-1704 (4545) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 49% 949-993 (1942) |
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$743.45
Record
51%
2307-2260 (4567)
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2475-1962 (4437)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$94.49
Value
$95.44
PnL
+$0.95
Record
39%
920-1454 (2374)
Invested
$27.27
Value
—
PnL
-$27.27
Record
52%
4209-3942 (8151)
Invested
$13.74
Value
$17.54
PnL
+$3.8
Record
60%
2584-1729 (4313)
ohioism<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
$15
PnL
+$10.35
Record
48%
1394-1530 (2924)
Invested
$19.54
Value
—
PnL
-$19.54
Record
39%
793-1263 (2056)
Invested
$13.48
Value
—
PnL
-$13.48
Record
49%
3564-3672 (7236)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$6.09
PnL
+$0.5
Record
63%
2841-1704 (4545)
Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
49%
949-993 (1942)