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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 50%

3 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.5K

Combined PnL

-$82.03

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$587.43

Total Shares587

Combined PnL+$34.45

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares447

Combined PnL-$116.48

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$750	$745	+$32.94	51% 2285-2228 (4513)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$372.5	$745	+$372.05
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$345.32	—	-$339.11
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2475-1962 (4437)
13 13897651ARB<$100	Upavg 51.1¢	$85.1	$89.44	+$4.34	39% 787-1252 (2039)
└ Down leg	Downavg 32.1¢	$39.42	—	-$39.42
└ Up leg	Upavg 51.1¢	$45.68	$89.44	+$43.75
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$2	—	-$2	44% 1381-1765 (3146)
AS asdcaxzARB<$100	Downavg 62.5¢	$95.7	$70.41	-$21.89	49% 3543-3653 (7196)
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.5¢	$60	—	-$60
└ Up leg	Upavg 44.2¢	$31.14	$70.41	+$38.11
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 33.3¢	$62.41	—	-$21.53	52% 4183-3927 (8110)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$68.29	—	-$68.29	50% 1465-1436 (2901)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 49.1¢	$82.9	—	-$15.36	54% 1694-1445 (3139)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 41.8¢	$23.25	$27.76	+$7.51	55% 1445-1188 (2633)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 40.5¢	$37.08	$32.28	+$19.9	60% 2556-1710 (4266)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 62¢	$9.3	—	-$9.3	48% 1377-1513 (2890)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 74¢	$10.64	$14.38	+$3.74	39% 906-1439 (2345)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 74.7¢	$9.72	$13.01	+$3.29	62% 2807-1686 (4493)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0	—	-$0	33% 691-1396 (2087)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$750

Value

$745

PnL

+$32.94

Record

51%

2285-2228 (4513)

Both legs:

Up$372.550¢+$372.05

Down$345.3250¢-$339.11

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

13897651ARB<$100

Invested

$85.1

Value

$89.44

PnL

+$4.34

Record

39%

787-1252 (2039)

Both legs:

Down$39.4232.1¢-$39.42

Up$45.6851.1¢+$43.75

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

44%

1381-1765 (3146)

asdcaxzARB<$100

Invested

$95.7

Value

$70.41

PnL

-$21.89

Record

49%

3543-3653 (7196)

Both legs:

Down$6062.5¢-$60

Up$31.1444.2¢+$38.11

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$62.41

Value

—

PnL

-$21.53

Record

52%

4183-3927 (8110)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$68.29

Value

—

PnL

-$68.29

Record

50%

1465-1436 (2901)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$82.9

Value

—

PnL

-$15.36

Record

54%

1694-1445 (3139)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$23.25

Value

$27.76

PnL

+$7.51

Record

55%

1445-1188 (2633)

Invested

$37.08

Value

$32.28

PnL

+$19.9

Record

60%

2556-1710 (4266)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$9.3

Value

—

PnL

-$9.3

Record

48%

1377-1513 (2890)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$10.64

Value

$14.38

PnL

+$3.74

Record

39%

906-1439 (2345)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$9.72

Value

$13.01

PnL

+$3.29

Record

62%

2807-1686 (4493)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0

Value

—

PnL

-$0

Record

33%

691-1396 (2087)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xd404ffb1...90841c

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794523500

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Up — $500

13897651

Arbitrage — excluded

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Arbitrage — excluded

blue.birds

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $27.76

aaa221

Up — $32.28

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