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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Resolved Up. 41% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Down 41%

Total Value

$717.03

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 17 top traders (41%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,630
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Up10 traders
Total Value$717.03
Total Shares717
Combined PnL+$15.42
Down — 41%Up — 59%
SO
soswald1CTR
Down

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$702.88

Record

51%

2285-2228 (4513)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2475-1962 (4437)

HO
hoodquant
Up

Invested

$252.35

Value

$257.5

PnL

+$5.15

Record

98%

2427-48 (2475)

AS
asdcaxz
Up

Invested

$148.07

Value

$155.11

PnL

+$9.04

Record

49%

3543-3653 (7196)

13
13897651<$100
Up

Invested

$73.32

Value

$67.5

PnL

-$5.82

Record

39%

787-1252 (2039)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Up

Invested

$79.66

Value

$72.18

PnL

-$7.48

Record

50%

1992-1999 (3991)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$64.4

Value

$75.99

PnL

+$11.59

Record

50%

1465-1436 (2901)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Up

Invested

$53.95

Value

$59.57

PnL

+$7.08

Record

52%

4183-3927 (8110)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Up

Invested

$14.56

Value

$10.05

PnL

-$4.51

Record

47%

986-1111 (2097)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.12

Value

—

PnL

-$3.12

Record

33%

691-1396 (2087)

AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$8.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.6

Record

60%

2556-1710 (4266)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$5.45

Value

$4.13

PnL

-$1.32

Record

62%

2807-1686 (4493)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

39%

906-1439 (2345)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

66%

2393-1213 (3606)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.6

Value

—

PnL

-$1.6

Record

48%

1620-1725 (3345)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.48

Value

—

PnL

-$0.48

Record

38%

748-1242 (1990)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.4

Value

—

PnL

-$5.4

Record

54%

1694-1445 (3139)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x02405c32...fdcd24
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794523200

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Down — $0

-$702.88
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$500
HO

hoodquant

Up — $257.5

+$5.15
AS

asdcaxz

Up — $155.11

+$9.04
13

13897651

Up — $67.5

-$5.82
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $72.18

-$7.48
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $75.99

+$11.59
BL

blue.birds

Up — $59.57

+$7.08

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $10.05

-$4.51

pspspsps5

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.12
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