Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Resolved Down. 25% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 25%
$120.56
-$503.62
Smart Money Signal
3 of 12 top traders (25%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 92.1¢ | $34.76 | $36.31 | +$1.55 | 39% 781-1243 (2024) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $18.77 | $22.75 | +$3.98 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 79.3¢ | $15.6 | $15 | -$0.6 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $14.98 | $15 | +$0.02 | 49% 936-980 (1916) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $8.42 | $8.5 | +$0.09 | 39% 895-1424 (2319) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 98% 2405-48 (2453) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $7.3 | $10 | +$2.7 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 73¢ | $3.65 | $5 | +$1.35 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83¢ | $1.66 | $2 | +$0.34 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.4¢ | $7.06 | — | -$7.06 | 37% 716-1225 (1941) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Upavg 14.2¢ | $6.04 | — | -$6.04 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$34.76
Value
$36.31
PnL
+$1.55
Record
39%
781-1243 (2024)
Invested
$18.77
Value
$22.75
PnL
+$3.98
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$15.6
Value
$15
PnL
-$0.6
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Invested
$14.98
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.02
Record
49%
936-980 (1916)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$8.42
Value
$8.5
PnL
+$0.09
Record
39%
895-1424 (2319)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
98%
2405-48 (2453)
Invested
$7.3
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.7
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$3.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.35
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
Invested
$1.66
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.34
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
Invested
$7.06
Value
—
PnL
-$7.06
Record
37%
716-1225 (1941)
Invested
$6.04
Value
—
PnL
-$6.04
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)