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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

Total Value

$198.47

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,313
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Down6 traders
Total Value$198.47
Total Shares198
Combined PnL+$17.66
Up — 45%Down — 55%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$700.18

Record

51%

2266-2202 (4468)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$63.98

Value

$68.86

PnL

+$9.97

Record

49%

3525-3636 (7161)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$34.56

Value

$46

PnL

+$11.44

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$26.18

Value

$33

PnL

+$6.82

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$25.74

Value

$21.25

PnL

-$4.49

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$24.58

Value

$18

PnL

-$5.68

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$11.77

Value

$11.36

PnL

-$0.41

Record

63%

2780-1667 (4447)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.44

Value

—

PnL

-$6.44

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.42

Value

—

PnL

-$0.42

Record

33%

686-1380 (2066)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.73

Value

—

PnL

-$2.73

Record

39%

895-1424 (2319)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x5dde67e8...dce8b2
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794522600

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$700.18
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $68.86

+$9.97
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $46

+$11.44
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $33

+$6.82
13

13897651

Down — $21.25

-$4.49
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $18

-$5.68
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $11.36

-$0.41

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.44

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.42
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