Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 27%
$657.05
-$706.76
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1CTR | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | — | -$722.89 | 51% 2266-2202 (4468) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2466-1957 (4423) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 70.1¢ | $35.26 | $37.68 | +$2.91 | 49% 3525-3636 (7161) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $26.1 | $30 | +$3.9 | 54% 1677-1430 (3107) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 63.6¢ | $24.51 | $38.51 | +$14 | 60% 2531-1695 (4226) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 66.1¢ | $18.13 | $22.77 | +$4.64 | 39% 781-1243 (2024) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 88.5¢ | $16.82 | $19 | +$2.18 | 50% 1445-1426 (2871) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 55% 1432-1173 (2605) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 91.9¢ | $3.76 | $4.09 | +$0.33 | 63% 2780-1667 (4447) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 14.8¢ | $4.03 | — | -$4.03 | 47% 975-1099 (2074) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 36¢ | $9 | — | -$9 | 52% 4164-3913 (8077) |
Invested
$750
Value
—
PnL
-$722.89
Record
51%
2266-2202 (4468)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2466-1957 (4423)
Invested
$35.26
Value
$37.68
PnL
+$2.91
Record
49%
3525-3636 (7161)
Invested
$26.1
Value
$30
PnL
+$3.9
Record
54%
1677-1430 (3107)
Invested
$24.51
Value
$38.51
PnL
+$14
Record
60%
2531-1695 (4226)
Invested
$18.13
Value
$22.77
PnL
+$4.64
Record
39%
781-1243 (2024)
Invested
$16.82
Value
$19
PnL
+$2.18
Record
50%
1445-1426 (2871)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
55%
1432-1173 (2605)
Invested
$3.76
Value
$4.09
PnL
+$0.33
Record
63%
2780-1667 (4447)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$4.03
Value
—
PnL
-$4.03
Record
47%
975-1099 (2074)
Invested
$9
Value
—
PnL
-$9
Record
52%
4164-3913 (8077)