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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 59% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

17

Up 59%

Total Value

$376.88

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Up

10 of 17 top traders (59%)10 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up10 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,393
Combined PnL$-1.2K
Down7 traders
Total Value$376.88
Total Shares377
Combined PnL+$50.92
Up — 59%Down — 41%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$626.71

Record

51%

2266-2202 (4468)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

13
13897651
Down

Invested

$128.39

Value

$136.85

PnL

+$8.47

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$93.29

Value

—

PnL

-$93.29

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

BL
blue.birds
Down

Invested

$95.27

Value

$101.8

PnL

+$6.53

Record

52%

4164-3913 (8077)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$61.24

Value

$68

PnL

+$12.36

Record

49%

3525-3636 (7161)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$21.29

Value

$29.99

PnL

+$8.7

Record

60%

2531-1695 (4226)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$6

Value

$20

PnL

+$14

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$12.8

Value

$10.13

PnL

-$1.38

Record

52%

1810-1682 (3492)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$7.85

Value

$10.1

PnL

+$2.25

Record

63%

2780-1667 (4447)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.62

Value

—

PnL

-$2.62

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.28

Value

—

PnL

-$4.28

Record

38%

927-1543 (2470)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.92

Value

—

PnL

-$0.92

Record

48%

1242-1341 (2583)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$8.6

Value

—

PnL

-$8.6

Record

46%

1350-1577 (2927)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.8

Value

—

PnL

-$5.8

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

63%

1662-970 (2632)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

48%

1603-1710 (3313)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9d9b4537...413a34
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794521400

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$626.71
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
13

13897651

Down — $136.85

+$8.47
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$93.29
BL

blue.birds

Down — $101.8

+$6.53
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $68

+$12.36
AA

aaa221

Down — $29.99

+$8.7
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $20

+$14

MayorMamdani

Down — $10.13

-$1.38
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $10.1

+$2.25
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