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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 36%

Total Value

$229.31

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 11 top traders (36%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,339
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Down7 traders
Total Value$229.31
Total Shares229
Combined PnL+$20.2
Up — 36%Down — 64%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$747.55

Record

51%

2266-2202 (4468)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$72.64

Value

$89.91

PnL

+$17.27

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$42.06

Value

$49.08

PnL

+$7.02

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$30.38

Value

$32

PnL

+$2.32

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$30.03

Value

$24.59

PnL

-$5.44

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$28.7

Value

$16

PnL

-$4.5

Record

49%

3525-3636 (7161)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$18.87

Value

$12.66

PnL

+$1.65

Record

63%

2780-1667 (4447)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$3.2

Value

$5.08

PnL

+$1.88

Record

55%

1432-1173 (2605)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.92

Value

—

PnL

-$6.92

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11.76

Value

—

PnL

-$11.76

Record

52%

4164-3913 (8077)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xb2d9641a...d623e6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794520500

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$747.55
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $89.91

+$17.27
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $49.08

+$7.02
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $32

+$2.32
13

13897651

Down — $24.59

-$5.44
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $16

-$4.5
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.66

+$1.65
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $5.08

+$1.88

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.92
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