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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 67%

Total Value

$74.68

Combined PnL

$-1.3K

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,389
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Down4 traders
Total Value$74.68
Total Shares75
Combined PnL+$8.46
Up — 67%Down — 33%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$738.23

Record

51%

2266-2202 (4468)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

AS
asdcaxz<$100
Down

Invested

$29.2

Value

$30.58

PnL

+$1.38

Record

49%

3525-3636 (7161)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$35.36

Value

—

PnL

-$35.36

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$28.97

Value

$25

PnL

-$1.73

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$14.75

Value

$13.99

PnL

+$8.36

Record

52%

4164-3913 (8077)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$22.8

Value

—

PnL

-$22.8

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.1

Value

—

PnL

-$7.1

Record

50%

1445-1426 (2871)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$0.45

Record

63%

2780-1667 (4447)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

39%

895-1424 (2319)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.2

Value

—

PnL

-$3.2

Record

47%

975-1099 (2074)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.03

Value

—

PnL

-$0.03

Record

33%

686-1380 (2066)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xe6c78323...bdbe1c
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794520200

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$738.23
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
AS

asdcaxz

Down — $30.58

+$1.38
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$35.36
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $25

-$1.73
BL

blue.birds

Down — $13.99

+$8.36
13

13897651

CTR

Up — $0

-$22.8
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$7.1
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $5.1

+$0.45

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.35
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