Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

16

Up 50%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.6K

Combined PnL

-$280.61

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 16 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$465.57

Total Shares466

Combined PnL+$76.35

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares480

Combined PnL-$356.96

Up — 50%Down — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$679	+$4.48	51% 2266-2202 (4468)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$362.5	—	-$355.55
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$339.5	$679	+$360.03
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$500	$500	+$0	56% 2466-1957 (4423)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
0X 0x50f7	Upavg 99.9¢	$355.88	$356.24	+$0.36	49% 936-980 (1916)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 53¢	$87.3	—	-$87.3	54% 1677-1430 (3107)
13 13897651CTR<$100	Downavg 68.8¢	$86.47	—	-$86.47	39% 781-1243 (2024)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Downavg 57.3¢	$88.96	—	-$88.96	52% 4164-3913 (8077)
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100	Downavg 72.7¢	$57.83	—	-$57.83	49% 3525-3636 (7161)
OhioRiskManagement<$100	Upavg 7¢	$1.36	$19.31	+$17.95	39% 895-1424 (2319)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 67.7¢	$14.78	—	-$14.78	50% 1977-1974 (3951)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 11.9¢	$2.66	—	-$2.66	48% 1603-1710 (3313)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 30¢	$4.22	$8	+$3.78	63% 1662-970 (2632)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Downavg 82¢	$8.2	—	-$8.2	55% 1432-1173 (2605)
pspspsps5<$100	Upavg 5.7¢	$1.7	$30.02	+$28.32	33% 686-1380 (2066)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 61.1¢	$9.73	$12	+$2.27	63% 2780-1667 (4447)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 18.9¢	$2.84	$15	+$12.16	46% 1350-1577 (2927)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 23.9¢	$3.59	$15	+$11.42	48% 1361-1500 (2861)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$9.9	$10	+$0.1	98% 2405-48 (2453)
BoneOhioCTR<$100	Downavg 76.8¢	$10.76	—	-$10.76	74% 1116-401 (1517)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$750

Value

$679

PnL

+$4.48

Record

51%

2266-2202 (4468)

Both legs:

Down$362.550¢-$355.55

Up$339.550¢+$360.03

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$500

PnL

+$0

Record

56%

2466-1957 (4423)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$25050¢+$250

Invested

$355.88

Value

$356.24

PnL

+$0.36

Record

49%

936-980 (1916)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$87.3

Value

—

PnL

-$87.3

Record

54%

1677-1430 (3107)

13897651CTR<$100

Invested

$86.47

Value

—

PnL

-$86.47

Record

39%

781-1243 (2024)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$88.96

Value

—

PnL

-$88.96

Record

52%

4164-3913 (8077)

asdcaxzCTR<$100

Invested

$57.83

Value

—

PnL

-$57.83

Record

49%

3525-3636 (7161)

OhioRiskManagement<$100

Invested

$1.36

Value

$19.31

PnL

+$17.95

Record

39%

895-1424 (2319)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$14.78

Value

—

PnL

-$14.78

Record

50%

1977-1974 (3951)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$2.66

Value

—

PnL

-$2.66

Record

48%

1603-1710 (3313)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.22

Value

$8

PnL

+$3.78

Record

63%

1662-970 (2632)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$8.2

Value

—

PnL

-$8.2

Record

55%

1432-1173 (2605)

Invested

$1.7

Value

$30.02

PnL

+$28.32

Record

33%

686-1380 (2066)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$9.73

Value

$12

PnL

+$2.27

Record

63%

2780-1667 (4447)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$2.84

Value

$15

PnL

+$12.16

Record

46%

1350-1577 (2927)

Invested

$3.59

Value

$15

PnL

+$11.42

Record

48%

1361-1500 (2861)

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.1

Record

98%

2405-48 (2453)

BoneOhioCTR<$100

Invested

$10.76

Value

—

PnL

-$10.76

Record

74%

1116-401 (1517)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 16 top traders (50%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x06cdd6c4...70cfe9

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794519300

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x50f7

Up — $356.24

ply-pm2

Down — $0

13897651

Down — $0

blue.birds

Down — $0

asdcaxz

Down — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $19.31

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket