Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Up 78%
1 arb excluded
$559.49
-$10.84
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500.61 | $496.61 | -$1.05 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $248.11 | $496.61 | +$248.95 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $17.95 | $15 | -$2.95 | 49% 3518-3623 (7141) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $12.95 | $14.55 | +$1.6 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 87.5¢ | $16.5 | $10.78 | -$5.72 | 39% 768-1224 (1992) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $5.6 | $8 | +$2.4 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 52% 1784-1636 (3420) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82¢ | $4.56 | $5.56 | +$1 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 84¢ | $4.2 | $5 | +$0.8 | 55% 1381-1151 (2532) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 84.5¢ | $3.38 | $4 | +$0.62 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
SO soswald1CTR<$100 | Downavg 23.8¢ | $3.09 | — | -$3.09 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
Invested
$500.61
Value
$496.61
PnL
-$1.05
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$17.95
Value
$15
PnL
-$2.95
Record
49%
3518-3623 (7141)
Invested
$12.95
Value
$14.55
PnL
+$1.6
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
Invested
$16.5
Value
$10.78
PnL
-$5.72
Record
39%
768-1224 (1992)
Invested
$5.6
Value
$8
PnL
+$2.4
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
52%
1784-1636 (3420)
Invested
$4.56
Value
$5.56
PnL
+$1
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$4.2
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
55%
1381-1151 (2532)
Invested
$3.38
Value
$4
PnL
+$0.62
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$3.09
Value
—
PnL
-$3.09
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)