Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
13
Down 38%
1 arb excluded
$1.4K
-$103.94
Smart Money Signal
5 of 13 top traders (38%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $745 | +$22.57 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $504.9 | $490 | -$11.1 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $254.9 | — | -$254.9 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $245 | $490 | +$243.8 | |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $85.14 | $86.88 | +$1.74 | 98% 2353-45 (2398) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 66.7¢ | $43.49 | — | -$43.49 | 39% 768-1224 (1992) |
AS asdcaxzCTR<$100 | Upavg 14.5¢ | $39.25 | — | -$39.25 | 49% 3518-3623 (7141) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 40.8¢ | $24.1 | — | -$24.1 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 38.3¢ | $4.35 | $11.35 | +$7 | 55% 1381-1151 (2532) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $4.5 | $11.25 | +$6.75 | 44% 1344-1706 (3050) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75.4¢ | $12.51 | $11.32 | -$1.18 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 68.4¢ | $5.32 | — | -$5.32 | 39% 873-1384 (2257) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 76¢ | $5.26 | — | -$5.26 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $4.14 | — | -$4.14 | 37% 679-1149 (1828) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 37% 901-1503 (2404) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 51.2¢ | $19.2 | — | -$19.2 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
Invested
$750
Value
$745
PnL
+$22.57
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$504.9
Value
$490
PnL
-$11.1
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$85.14
Value
$86.88
PnL
+$1.74
Record
98%
2353-45 (2398)
Invested
$43.49
Value
—
PnL
-$43.49
Record
39%
768-1224 (1992)
Invested
$39.25
Value
—
PnL
-$39.25
Record
49%
3518-3623 (7141)
Invested
$24.1
Value
—
PnL
-$24.1
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
Invested
$4.35
Value
$11.35
PnL
+$7
Record
55%
1381-1151 (2532)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
$11.25
PnL
+$6.75
Record
44%
1344-1706 (3050)
Invested
$12.51
Value
$11.32
PnL
-$1.18
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$5.32
Value
—
PnL
-$5.32
Record
39%
873-1384 (2257)
Invested
$5.26
Value
—
PnL
-$5.26
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$4.14
Value
—
PnL
-$4.14
Record
37%
679-1149 (1828)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
37%
901-1503 (2404)
Invested
$19.2
Value
—
PnL
-$19.2
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $745
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
hoodquant
Down — $86.88
13897651
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $11.35
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $11.25
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $11.32
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0