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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Down 64%

Total Value

$160.45

Combined PnL

-$693.9

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 14 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares973
Combined PnL-$804.97
Up5 traders
Total Value$160.45
Total Shares160
Combined PnL+$111.07
Down — 64%Up — 36%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Down

Invested

$512.65

Value

—

PnL

-$503.4

Record

56%

2419-1897 (4316)

SO
soswald1<$100
Up

Invested

$34.13

Value

$96.7

PnL

+$62.57

Record

51%

2225-2153 (4378)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$62.7

Value

—

PnL

-$62.7

Record

49%

3518-3623 (7141)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$66.54

Value

—

PnL

-$66.54

Record

39%

768-1224 (1992)

PL
ply-pm2CTR
Down

Invested

$114.03

Value

—

PnL

-$114.03

Record

54%

1637-1402 (3039)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Up

Invested

$4.72

Value

$23.11

PnL

+$18.4

Record

39%

873-1384 (2257)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$17.15

Value

—

PnL

-$17.15

Record

55%

1381-1151 (2532)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.11

Value

—

PnL

-$1.46

Record

50%

1923-1911 (3834)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.21

Value

—

PnL

-$9.21

Record

51%

1409-1375 (2784)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$4.8

Value

$8

PnL

+$3.2

Record

62%

2708-1636 (4344)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$5.95

Value

—

PnL

-$5.95

Record

60%

2481-1663 (4144)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$2.67

Value

$26.63

PnL

+$23.96

Record

33%

675-1344 (2019)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Up

Invested

$3.06

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.94

Record

37%

679-1149 (1828)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$24.53

Value

—

PnL

-$24.53

Record

52%

4124-3876 (8000)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xab14712a...092f46
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794514500

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Down — $0

-$503.4
SO

soswald1

Up — $96.7

+$62.57
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$62.7
13

13897651

CTR

Down — $0

-$66.54
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$114.03

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $23.11

+$18.4
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Down — $0

-$17.15
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.46
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$9.21
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $8

+$3.2
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