Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 36%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
-$147.11
Smart Money Signal
5 of 14 top traders (36%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed9 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SO soswald1 | Downavg 50¢ | $750 | $691.74 | -$2.89 | 51% 2225-2153 (4378) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $497.96 | -$0.96 | 56% 2419-1897 (4316) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $248.98 | $497.96 | +$249.04 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.1¢ | $41.55 | — | -$41.55 | 39% 768-1224 (1992) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 30.8¢ | $22.2 | — | -$22.2 | 52% 4124-3876 (8000) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Downavg 60.9¢ | $31.59 | $33.89 | +$2.3 | 49% 3518-3623 (7141) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.2¢ | $49.69 | — | -$49.69 | 54% 1637-1402 (3039) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 49.8¢ | $10.05 | $20.2 | +$10.15 | 55% 1381-1151 (2532) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 96¢ | $32.92 | $16.64 | -$3.22 | 62% 2708-1636 (4344) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $16.46 | — | -$16.46 | 60% 2481-1663 (4144) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Upavg 41.9¢ | $11.29 | — | -$11.29 | 50% 1923-1911 (3834) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 92.5¢ | $10.41 | $10 | -$0.41 | 47% 959-1076 (2035) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $2.8 | — | -$2.8 | 51% 1409-1375 (2784) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 24.5¢ | $2.45 | — | -$2.45 | 44% 1344-1706 (3050) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 12¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 47% 1374-1576 (2950) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.2¢ | $4.8 | — | -$4.8 | 46% 1320-1541 (2861) |
Invested
$750
Value
$691.74
PnL
-$2.89
Record
51%
2225-2153 (4378)
Invested
$500
Value
$497.96
PnL
-$0.96
Record
56%
2419-1897 (4316)
Both legs:
Invested
$41.55
Value
—
PnL
-$41.55
Record
39%
768-1224 (1992)
Invested
$22.2
Value
—
PnL
-$22.2
Record
52%
4124-3876 (8000)
Invested
$31.59
Value
$33.89
PnL
+$2.3
Record
49%
3518-3623 (7141)
Invested
$49.69
Value
—
PnL
-$49.69
Record
54%
1637-1402 (3039)
Invested
$10.05
Value
$20.2
PnL
+$10.15
Record
55%
1381-1151 (2532)
Invested
$32.92
Value
$16.64
PnL
-$3.22
Record
62%
2708-1636 (4344)
Invested
$16.46
Value
—
PnL
-$16.46
Record
60%
2481-1663 (4144)
Invested
$11.29
Value
—
PnL
-$11.29
Record
50%
1923-1911 (3834)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$10.41
Value
$10
PnL
-$0.41
Record
47%
959-1076 (2035)
Invested
$2.8
Value
—
PnL
-$2.8
Record
51%
1409-1375 (2784)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.45
Value
—
PnL
-$2.45
Record
44%
1344-1706 (3050)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
47%
1374-1576 (2950)
Invested
$4.8
Value
—
PnL
-$4.8
Record
46%
1320-1541 (2861)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
soswald1
Down — $691.74
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
CTRUp — $0
blue.birds
CTRUp — $0
asdcaxz
Down — $33.89
ply-pm2
CTRUp — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $20.2
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $16.64
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRUp — $0