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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

18

Up 50%

Total Value

$176.6

Combined PnL

$-1.2K

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 18 top traders (50%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,370
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Down9 traders
Total Value$176.6
Total Shares177
Combined PnL+$23.67
Up — 50%Down — 50%
SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$750

Value

—

PnL

-$746.48

Record

51%

2225-2153 (4378)

BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2419-1897 (4316)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$57.97

Value

$73.96

PnL

+$15.98

Record

51%

1409-1375 (2784)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$35.65

Value

$42.34

PnL

+$6.69

Record

39%

768-1224 (1992)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

49%

927-964 (1891)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$17.26

Value

$14

PnL

-$3.26

Record

50%

1923-1911 (3834)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$9.68

Value

$11

PnL

+$1.32

Record

52%

4124-3876 (8000)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.01

PnL

+$0.07

Record

63%

1621-961 (2582)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Down

Invested

$2.9

Value

$5.09

PnL

+$2.19

Record

55%

1381-1151 (2532)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.21

PnL

+$0.31

Record

66%

2317-1186 (3503)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$3.64

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.36

Record

62%

2708-1636 (4344)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.87

Value

—

PnL

-$6.87

Record

54%

1637-1402 (3039)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.34

Value

—

PnL

-$1.34

Record

33%

675-1344 (2019)

BO
bosonaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

50%

4095-4042 (8137)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.72

Value

—

PnL

-$0.72

Record

37%

679-1149 (1828)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.34

Value

—

PnL

-$6.34

Record

44%

1344-1706 (3050)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.02

Value

—

PnL

-$0.02

Record

37%

901-1503 (2404)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.95

Value

—

PnL

-$1.95

Record

46%

1320-1541 (2861)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x205e47b7...f2069b
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794513600

Traders in this Market

SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$746.48
BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $73.96

+$15.98
13

13897651

Down — $42.34

+$6.69
0X

0x50f7

Down — $15

+$0.02
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $14

-$3.26
BL

blue.birds

Down — $11

+$1.32
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $6.01

+$0.07
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $5.09

+$2.19
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.21

+$0.31
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