Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Down 73%
$210.07
-$522.96
Smart Money Signal
16 of 22 top traders (73%)16 hold an outcome priced under 50%21 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Downavg 49.5¢ | $501.32 | — | -$487.77 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 92.6¢ | $81.45 | $79.63 | -$1.82 | 38% 746-1216 (1962) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 93.3¢ | $63.03 | $57.56 | -$5.47 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Upavg 86.9¢ | $32.49 | $37.38 | +$4.89 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $14.97 | $15 | +$0.03 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $8.3 | $10.51 | +$2.21 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 91¢ | $9.09 | $9.99 | +$0.9 | 60% 2431-1634 (4065) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 20.3¢ | $17.56 | — | -$10.01 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $3.89 | — | -$3.89 | 38% 880-1457 (2337) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.4 | — | -$2.4 | 66% 2271-1160 (3431) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $2.2 | — | -$2.2 | 63% 1587-944 (2531) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 20.5¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 51% 1376-1320 (2696) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.1¢ | $0.55 | — | -$0.55 | 49% 903-945 (1848) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 47% 935-1043 (1978) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.2¢ | $0.48 | — | -$0.48 | 33% 663-1321 (1984) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 48% 1515-1649 (3164) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 34¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 48% 1314-1432 (2746) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $4.16 | — | -$4.16 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 3.3¢ | $2.44 | — | -$3.52 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $2.25 | — | -$2.25 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 47% 1347-1530 (2877) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.16 | — | -$0.16 | 44% 1316-1666 (2982) |
Invested
$501.32
Value
—
PnL
-$487.77
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$81.45
Value
$79.63
PnL
-$1.82
Record
38%
746-1216 (1962)
Invested
$63.03
Value
$57.56
PnL
-$5.47
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Invested
$32.49
Value
$37.38
PnL
+$4.89
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.97
Value
$15
PnL
+$0.03
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
Invested
$8.3
Value
$10.51
PnL
+$2.21
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
Invested
$9.09
Value
$9.99
PnL
+$0.9
Record
60%
2431-1634 (4065)
Invested
$17.56
Value
—
PnL
-$10.01
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$3.89
Value
—
PnL
-$3.89
Record
38%
880-1457 (2337)
Invested
$2.4
Value
—
PnL
-$2.4
Record
66%
2271-1160 (3431)
Invested
$2.2
Value
—
PnL
-$2.2
Record
63%
1587-944 (2531)
Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
51%
1376-1320 (2696)
Invested
$0.55
Value
—
PnL
-$0.55
Record
49%
903-945 (1848)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
47%
935-1043 (1978)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.48
Value
—
PnL
-$0.48
Record
33%
663-1321 (1984)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
48%
1515-1649 (3164)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
48%
1314-1432 (2746)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$4.16
Value
—
PnL
-$4.16
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
Invested
$2.44
Value
—
PnL
-$3.52
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
Invested
$2.25
Value
—
PnL
-$2.25
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
47%
1347-1530 (2877)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.16
Value
—
PnL
-$0.16
Record
44%
1316-1666 (2982)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRDown — $0
13897651
Up — $79.63
ply-pm2
Up — $57.56
soswald1
Up — $37.38
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $15
Kathod-Shi-14
Up — $10.51
aaa221
Up — $9.99
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
CTRDown — $0
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
asdaefef
CTRDown — $0