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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 75%

Total Value

$136.13

Combined PnL

-$526.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares718

Combined PnL-$524.55

Down3 traders

Total Value$136.13

Total Shares136

Combined PnL-$1.51

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$489.58	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 85.2¢	$74.2	$75.24	+$1.04	38% 746-1216 (1962)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 86.4¢	$49.59	$45.89	-$3.7	54% 1603-1367 (2970)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 78¢	$13.85	$15	+$1.15	55% 1366-1134 (2500)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 17.4¢	$22.81	—	-$12.13	52% 4097-3832 (7929)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 28¢	$1.96	—	-$1.96	47% 935-1043 (1978)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Upavg 30¢	$7.5	—	-$7.5	51% 1376-1320 (2696)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 2.6¢	$2	—	-$2	44% 1316-1666 (2982)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 18.2¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 11.5¢	$2.36	—	-$2.36	47% 1347-1530 (2877)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Upavg 14.8¢	$2.95	—	-$2.77	62% 2642-1602 (4244)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 12.1¢	$2.05	—	-$2.05	51% 2178-2103 (4281)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$489.58

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

Invested

$74.2

Value

$75.24

PnL

+$1.04

Record

38%

746-1216 (1962)

Invested

$49.59

Value

$45.89

PnL

-$3.7

Record

54%

1603-1367 (2970)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$13.85

Value

$15

PnL

+$1.15

Record

55%

1366-1134 (2500)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$22.81

Value

—

PnL

-$12.13

Record

52%

4097-3832 (7929)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.96

Value

—

PnL

-$1.96

Record

47%

935-1043 (1978)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$7.5

Value

—

PnL

-$7.5

Record

51%

1376-1320 (2696)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

44%

1316-1666 (2982)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.36

Value

—

PnL

-$2.36

Record

47%

1347-1530 (2877)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.95

Value

—

PnL

-$2.77

Record

62%

2642-1602 (4244)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

51%

2178-2103 (4281)

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 12 top traders (75%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x45619036...f12549

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794507600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $75.24

ply-pm2

Down — $45.89

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $15

blue.birds

Up — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

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