Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 91% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
11
Down 91%
1 arb excluded
$893.48
$34.33
Smart Money Signal
10 of 11 top traders (91%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $508.3 | $494.18 | +$4.5 | 56% 2372-1839 (4211) |
BL blue.birds | Downavg 63.3¢ | $113.69 | $83 | -$8.07 | 52% 4097-3832 (7929) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.8¢ | $73.71 | $63.79 | -$9.92 | 54% 1603-1367 (2970) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.8¢ | $44.56 | $63.79 | +$19.23 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 34.3¢ | $29.15 | — | -$29.15 | |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 73.6¢ | $64.18 | $69.68 | +$5.51 | 38% 746-1216 (1962) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $61.65 | $62.27 | +$0.62 | 74% 1071-381 (1452) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 63.2¢ | $38.65 | $55 | +$19.5 | 51% 2178-2103 (4281) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $25.85 | $35 | +$9.15 | 50% 1859-1828 (3687) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 87.5¢ | $8.75 | $10 | +$1.25 | 55% 1366-1134 (2500) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 82.5¢ | $7.56 | $9.17 | +$1.61 | 39% 852-1352 (2204) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 75.7¢ | $4.84 | $6.39 | +$1.55 | 62% 2642-1602 (4244) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $3.9 | — | -$3.9 | 52% 1755-1602 (3357) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100 | Downavg 47.8¢ | $2.39 | $5 | +$2.61 | 46% 1298-1506 (2804) |
Invested
$508.3
Value
$494.18
PnL
+$4.5
Record
56%
2372-1839 (4211)
Invested
$113.69
Value
$83
PnL
-$8.07
Record
52%
4097-3832 (7929)
Invested
$73.71
Value
$63.79
PnL
-$9.92
Record
54%
1603-1367 (2970)
Both legs:
Invested
$64.18
Value
$69.68
PnL
+$5.51
Record
38%
746-1216 (1962)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$61.65
Value
$62.27
PnL
+$0.62
Record
74%
1071-381 (1452)
Invested
$38.65
Value
$55
PnL
+$19.5
Record
51%
2178-2103 (4281)
Invested
$25.85
Value
$35
PnL
+$9.15
Record
50%
1859-1828 (3687)
Invested
$8.75
Value
$10
PnL
+$1.25
Record
55%
1366-1134 (2500)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$7.56
Value
$9.17
PnL
+$1.61
Record
39%
852-1352 (2204)
Invested
$4.84
Value
$6.39
PnL
+$1.55
Record
62%
2642-1602 (4244)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$3.9
Value
—
PnL
-$3.9
Record
52%
1755-1602 (3357)
Invested
$2.39
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.61
Record
46%
1298-1506 (2804)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Down — $494.18
blue.birds
Down — $83
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
Down — $69.68
BoneOhio
Down — $62.27
soswald1
Down — $55
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $35
Kathod-Shi-14
Down — $10
OhioRiskManagement
Down — $9.17
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $6.39