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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Up. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.4K

Combined PnL

$14.69

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders

Total Value$705.86

Total Shares706

Combined PnL+$18.22

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares20

Combined PnL-$3.53

Up — 73%Down — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SO soswald1ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$750	$694.13	-$15.73	51% 2178-2103 (4281)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$347.07	$694.13	+$358.37
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$370	—	-$374.1
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 50.2¢	$505.64	$503.57	+$0.83	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
BL blue.birds<$100	Upavg 80.1¢	$59.94	$62.81	+$5.02	52% 4097-3832 (7929)
13 13897651<$100	Upavg 74¢	$53.29	$54.35	+$1.07	38% 746-1216 (1962)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 59.8¢	$44.17	$46.03	+$1.86	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 75¢	$56.78	$22.4	+$5.62	54% 1603-1367 (2970)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Upavg 70.6¢	$8.7	$10.34	+$1.72	62% 2642-1602 (4244)
MayorMamdani<$100	Upavg 63¢	$3.15	$5	+$1.85	52% 1755-1602 (3357)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 22¢	$1.68	—	-$1.68	39% 852-1352 (2204)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 20¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	47% 935-1043 (1978)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 82¢	$1.12	$1.36	+$0.24	51% 1376-1320 (2696)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 9¢	$0.45	—	-$0.45	33% 663-1321 (1984)

soswald1ARB<$100

Invested

$750

Value

$694.13

PnL

-$15.73

Record

51%

2178-2103 (4281)

Both legs:

Up$347.0750¢+$358.37

Down$37050¢-$374.1

Invested

$505.64

Value

$503.57

PnL

+$0.83

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$59.94

Value

$62.81

PnL

+$5.02

Record

52%

4097-3832 (7929)

Invested

$53.29

Value

$54.35

PnL

+$1.07

Record

38%

746-1216 (1962)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$44.17

Value

$46.03

PnL

+$1.86

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

Invested

$56.78

Value

$22.4

PnL

+$5.62

Record

54%

1603-1367 (2970)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$8.7

Value

$10.34

PnL

+$1.72

Record

62%

2642-1602 (4244)

MayorMamdani<$100

Invested

$3.15

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.85

Record

52%

1755-1602 (3357)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.68

Value

—

PnL

-$1.68

Record

39%

852-1352 (2204)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

47%

935-1043 (1978)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$1.12

Value

$1.36

PnL

+$0.24

Record

51%

1376-1320 (2696)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

33%

663-1321 (1984)

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x50cfcdeb...8918c6

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794506700

Traders in this Market

soswald1

Arbitrage — excluded

ByteBadger92

Up — $503.57

blue.birds

Up — $62.81

13897651

Up — $54.35

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $46.03

ply-pm2

Up — $22.4

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $10.34

MayorMamdani

Up — $5

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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