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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 43%

Total Value

$102.25

Combined PnL

-$723.78

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares942

Combined PnL-$716.33

Down8 traders

Total Value$102.25

Total Shares102

Combined PnL-$7.45

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2372-1839 (4211)
38 38791873984189CTR	Upavg 48.5¢	$177.94	—	-$177.94	48% 2223-2408 (4631)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 75.7¢	$46.09	$38.75	-$7.34	38% 746-1216 (1962)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 28.4¢	$23.82	—	-$23.82	50% 1859-1828 (3687)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 93¢	$15.22	$16.37	+$1.15	33% 663-1321 (1984)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 93¢	$14.07	$15.13	+$1.06	60% 2431-1634 (4065)
SO soswald1<$100	Downavg 88.5¢	$16.2	$13	-$3.2	51% 2178-2103 (4281)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 48¢	$6.98	—	-$6.98	54% 1603-1367 (2970)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	48% 1515-1649 (3164)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	66% 2271-1160 (3431)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 99¢	$4.95	$5	+$0.05	63% 1587-944 (2531)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 81.5¢	$3.26	$4	+$0.74	62% 2642-1602 (4244)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$0.24	—	-$0.24	47% 935-1043 (1978)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 49¢	$7.35	—	-$7.35	47% 1347-1530 (2877)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2372-1839 (4211)

38791873984189CTR

Invested

$177.94

Value

—

PnL

-$177.94

Record

48%

2223-2408 (4631)

Invested

$46.09

Value

$38.75

PnL

-$7.34

Record

38%

746-1216 (1962)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$23.82

Value

—

PnL

-$23.82

Record

50%

1859-1828 (3687)

Invested

$15.22

Value

$16.37

PnL

+$1.15

Record

33%

663-1321 (1984)

Invested

$14.07

Value

$15.13

PnL

+$1.06

Record

60%

2431-1634 (4065)

Invested

$16.2

Value

$13

PnL

-$3.2

Record

51%

2178-2103 (4281)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$6.98

Value

—

PnL

-$6.98

Record

54%

1603-1367 (2970)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

48%

1515-1649 (3164)

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

66%

2271-1160 (3431)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.95

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.05

Record

63%

1587-944 (2531)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$3.26

Value

$4

PnL

+$0.74

Record

62%

2642-1602 (4244)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.24

Value

—

PnL

-$0.24

Record

47%

935-1043 (1978)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$7.35

Value

—

PnL

-$7.35

Record

47%

1347-1530 (2877)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 14 top traders (43%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf45478e7...71027d

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794506100

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

38791873984189

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $38.75

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $16.37

aaa221

Down — $15.13

soswald1

Down — $13

ply-pm2

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5

asdaefef

Down — $5

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