Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 33%

Total Value

$662.25

Combined PnL

-$496.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares664
Combined PnL-$611.79
Down8 traders
Total Value$662.25
Total Shares662
Combined PnL+$115.71
Up — 33%Down — 67%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$350

Value

$332.15

PnL

+$19.58

Record

51%

2130-2057 (4187)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$57.26

Value

$112.3

PnL

+$55.04

Record

54%

1563-1340 (2903)

13
13897651
Down

Invested

$107.93

Value

$103.82

PnL

-$4.11

Record

38%

732-1200 (1932)

BL
blue.birdsCTR
Up

Invested

$121.61

Value

—

PnL

-$110.93

Record

52%

4060-3799 (7859)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$34.75

Value

$63.45

PnL

+$28.7

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$12.1

Value

$21.14

PnL

+$9.04

Record

51%

1347-1269 (2616)

AN
antsaslyku<$100
Down

Invested

$6.9

Value

$13.19

PnL

+$6.29

Record

38%

866-1417 (2283)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$7.6

Value

$10.21

PnL

+$2.61

Record

39%

828-1318 (2146)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$7.43

Value

$6

PnL

-$1.43

Record

66%

2224-1129 (3353)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

47%

1321-1484 (2805)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.08

Value

—

PnL

+$1.49

Record

62%

2576-1569 (4145)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x054b875a...38d363
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794500400

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Down — $332.15

+$19.58
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $112.3

+$55.04
13

13897651

Down — $103.82

-$4.11
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Up — $0

-$110.93
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $63.45

+$28.7
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $21.14

+$9.04
AN

antsaslyku

Down — $13.19

+$6.29

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $10.21

+$2.61
AS

asdaefef

Down — $6

-$1.43
Trade on Polymarket