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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 62%

Total Value

$109.33

Combined PnL

-$971.56

Smart Money Signal

Up

9 of 14 top traders (64%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up9 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,093
Combined PnL-$983.03
Down5 traders
Total Value$109.33
Total Shares109
Combined PnL+$11.47
Up — 64%Down — 36%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$350

Value

—

PnL

-$330.96

Record

51%

2130-2057 (4187)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$82.59

Value

$85.84

PnL

+$3.25

Record

38%

732-1200 (1932)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$46.05

Value

—

PnL

-$46.05

Record

51%

1806-1756 (3562)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$25.5

Value

—

PnL

-$25.5

Record

54%

1563-1340 (2903)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$17.8

Value

—

PnL

-$17.8

Record

52%

4060-3799 (7859)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$5.69

Value

$6.25

PnL

+$0.56

Record

48%

1288-1398 (2686)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$3.76

Value

$6.15

PnL

+$2.41

Record

62%

2576-1569 (4145)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$3.3

Value

$6

PnL

+$2.7

Record

38%

650-1081 (1731)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$2.55

Value

$5.1

PnL

+$2.55

Record

39%

828-1318 (2146)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

47%

912-1024 (1936)

38
38791873984189CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

48%

2191-2368 (4559)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$58.52

Value

—

PnL

-$58.52

Record

51%

1347-1269 (2616)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

46%

1269-1467 (2736)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x0fa1ac30...dd76a2
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794499800

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$330.96
13

13897651

Down — $85.84

+$3.25
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$46.05
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$25.5
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Up — $0

-$17.8

ohioism

Down — $6.25

+$0.56
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $6.15

+$2.41
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

+$2.7

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $5.1

+$2.55
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