Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
18
Up 53%
5 arb excluded
$1.7K
-$39.25
Smart Money Signal
10 of 18 top traders (56%)5 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%17 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 62.5¢ | $318.74 | $289.49 | -$29.25 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 62.5¢ | $180.49 | — | -$180.49 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 47.8¢ | $138.25 | $289.49 | +$151.24 | |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $350 | $264.17 | -$29.58 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $141.52 | — | -$139.6 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $132.09 | $264.17 | +$110.02 | |
BL blue.birdsARB<$100 | Downavg 53.3¢ | $188.05 | $223.77 | +$35.72 | 52% 4022-3759 (7781) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 53.3¢ | $134.4 | — | -$134.4 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 24¢ | $53.65 | $223.77 | +$170.12 | |
13 13897651ARB<$100 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $157.28 | $128.34 | -$28.93 | 38% 714-1185 (1899) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.6¢ | $106.28 | — | -$106.28 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 39.7¢ | $51 | $128.34 | +$77.35 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 27.1¢ | $67.81 | $158.55 | +$90.73 | 54% 1521-1314 (2835) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.1¢ | $43.01 | $158.55 | +$115.54 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.2¢ | $24.81 | — | -$24.81 | |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $50.28 | $38.82 | -$11.46 | 74% 1022-354 (1376) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 85.1¢ | $42.6 | — | -$42.6 | 47% 870-993 (1863) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 38.5¢ | $11.7 | $30.39 | +$18.69 | 44% 1249-1571 (2820) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 95.2¢ | $34.46 | $27.13 | -$7.33 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 78.6¢ | $27.19 | $21.23 | -$5.96 | 63% 1521-902 (2423) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.3¢ | $13.65 | — | -$13.65 | 46% 1227-1428 (2655) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $14.32 | — | -$14.32 | 48% 2153-2339 (4492) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 74.2¢ | $18.22 | — | -$15.07 | 62% 2512-1527 (4039) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 51¢ | $4.52 | $8.77 | +$4.25 | 38% 841-1390 (2231) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $1.6 | $8 | +$6.4 | 39% 807-1277 (2084) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50.1¢ | $7.72 | $15.4 | +$7.68 | 48% 1139-1229 (2368) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $3.5 | — | -$3.5 | 60% 2327-1560 (3887) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $2.35 | $5.6 | +$3.25 | 67% 2180-1089 (3269) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Downavg 77.4¢ | $52.89 | — | -$52.89 | 52% 1296-1214 (2510) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 69.5¢ | $31.65 | — | -$31.65 | 48% 1250-1346 (2596) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 54.3¢ | $8.25 | — | -$8.25 | 47% 1280-1435 (2715) |
SU suntori<$100 | Upavg 7.4¢ | $10.28 | $0.01 | +$127.16 | 47% 1547-1731 (3278) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$318.74
Value
$289.49
PnL
-$29.25
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
Both legs:
Invested
$350
Value
$264.17
PnL
-$29.58
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
Both legs:
Invested
$188.05
Value
$223.77
PnL
+$35.72
Record
52%
4022-3759 (7781)
Both legs:
Invested
$157.28
Value
$128.34
PnL
-$28.93
Record
38%
714-1185 (1899)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.81
Value
$158.55
PnL
+$90.73
Record
54%
1521-1314 (2835)
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$50.28
Value
$38.82
PnL
-$11.46
Record
74%
1022-354 (1376)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$42.6
Value
—
PnL
-$42.6
Record
47%
870-993 (1863)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$11.7
Value
$30.39
PnL
+$18.69
Record
44%
1249-1571 (2820)
Invested
$34.46
Value
$27.13
PnL
-$7.33
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
Invested
$27.19
Value
$21.23
PnL
-$5.96
Record
63%
1521-902 (2423)
Invested
$13.65
Value
—
PnL
-$13.65
Record
46%
1227-1428 (2655)
Invested
$14.32
Value
—
PnL
-$14.32
Record
48%
2153-2339 (4492)
Invested
$18.22
Value
—
PnL
-$15.07
Record
62%
2512-1527 (4039)
Invested
$4.52
Value
$8.77
PnL
+$4.25
Record
38%
841-1390 (2231)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.6
Value
$8
PnL
+$6.4
Record
39%
807-1277 (2084)
Invested
$7.72
Value
$15.4
PnL
+$7.68
Record
48%
1139-1229 (2368)
Invested
$3.5
Value
—
PnL
-$3.5
Record
60%
2327-1560 (3887)
Invested
$2.35
Value
$5.6
PnL
+$3.25
Record
67%
2180-1089 (3269)
Invested
$52.89
Value
—
PnL
-$52.89
Record
52%
1296-1214 (2510)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$31.65
Value
—
PnL
-$31.65
Record
48%
1250-1346 (2596)
Invested
$8.25
Value
—
PnL
-$8.25
Record
47%
1280-1435 (2715)
Invested
$10.28
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$127.16
Record
47%
1547-1731 (3278)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up — $500
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
blue.birds
ARBArbitrage — excluded
13897651
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
BoneOhio
Up — $38.82
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
G-Penis-Monster
Up — $30.39
dvasdkasodk
Up — $27.13