Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET

Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

22

Up 27%

Total Value

$795.55

Combined PnL

-$363.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 22 top traders (27%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares730
Combined PnL-$568.37
Down16 traders
Total Value$795.55
Total Shares796
Combined PnL+$205.13
Up — 27%Down — 73%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$173.67

Value

$242.77

PnL

+$69.1

Record

54%

1521-1314 (2835)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$96.81

Value

$146.71

PnL

+$49.9

Record

51%

1741-1694 (3435)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$64.76

Value

$68.42

PnL

+$3.66

Record

38%

714-1185 (1899)

BO
bosona
Down

Invested

$68

Value

$100

PnL

+$32

Record

50%

4018-3992 (8010)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$55.98

Value

$60.06

PnL

+$5.15

Record

51%

2068-2013 (4081)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$47.13

Value

—

PnL

-$47.13

Record

48%

1139-1229 (2368)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$30.22

Value

$39

PnL

+$8.78

Record

52%

1296-1214 (2510)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$27.29

Value

$36.85

PnL

+$9.56

Record

47%

870-993 (1863)

PB
PBot-5<$100
Down

Invested

$18.62

Value

$38

PnL

+$19.38

Record

49%

727-769 (1496)

BoneOhio<$100
Down

Invested

$13.65

Value

$16.25

PnL

+$2.6

Record

74%

1022-354 (1376)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$9.55

Value

$10.28

PnL

+$0.73

Record

67%

2180-1089 (3269)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$7.88

Value

—

PnL

-$7.88

Record

60%

2327-1560 (3887)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.91

Value

$7.15

PnL

-$0.63

Record

62%

2512-1527 (4039)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$7.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.3

Record

52%

1676-1557 (3233)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.15

Record

48%

1442-1566 (3008)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.7

Value

$5.46

PnL

+$0.76

Record

63%

1521-902 (2423)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$3.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$1.1

Record

47%

1280-1435 (2715)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$3.95

Value

$4.54

PnL

+$0.59

Record

48%

1250-1346 (2596)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.05

Value

—

PnL

-$2.05

Record

39%

807-1277 (2084)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.31

Value

—

PnL

-$0.31

Record

33%

629-1260 (1889)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$11

Value

—

PnL

-$11

Record

52%

4022-3759 (7781)