Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
22
Up 27%
$795.55
-$363.24
Smart Money Signal
6 of 22 top traders (27%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%18 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2370-1839 (4209) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 69.6¢ | $173.67 | $242.77 | +$69.1 | 54% 1521-1314 (2835) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 66¢ | $96.81 | $146.71 | +$49.9 | 51% 1741-1694 (3435) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 70.3¢ | $64.76 | $68.42 | +$3.66 | 38% 714-1185 (1899) |
BO bosona | Downavg 68¢ | $68 | $100 | +$32 | 50% 4018-3992 (8010) |
SO soswald1<$100 | Downavg 70.7¢ | $55.98 | $60.06 | +$5.15 | 51% 2068-2013 (4081) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50.2¢ | $47.13 | — | -$47.13 | 48% 1139-1229 (2368) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $30.22 | $39 | +$8.78 | 52% 1296-1214 (2510) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 74.1¢ | $27.29 | $36.85 | +$9.56 | 47% 870-993 (1863) |
PB PBot-5<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $18.62 | $38 | +$19.38 | 49% 727-769 (1496) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 84¢ | $13.65 | $16.25 | +$2.6 | 74% 1022-354 (1376) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 81.2¢ | $9.55 | $10.28 | +$0.73 | 67% 2180-1089 (3269) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $7.88 | — | -$7.88 | 60% 2327-1560 (3887) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.1¢ | $8.91 | $7.15 | -$0.63 | 62% 2512-1527 (4039) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 77¢ | $7.7 | $10 | +$2.3 | 52% 1676-1557 (3233) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.9 | $5.05 | +$0.15 | 48% 1442-1566 (3008) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $4.7 | $5.46 | +$0.76 | 63% 1521-902 (2423) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 78¢ | $3.9 | $5 | +$1.1 | 47% 1280-1435 (2715) |
![]() ohioism<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $3.95 | $4.54 | +$0.59 | 48% 1250-1346 (2596) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3.4¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 39% 807-1277 (2084) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.4¢ | $0.31 | — | -$0.31 | 33% 629-1260 (1889) |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 36.7¢ | $11 | — | -$11 | 52% 4022-3759 (7781) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2370-1839 (4209)
Invested
$173.67
Value
$242.77
PnL
+$69.1
Record
54%
1521-1314 (2835)
Invested
$96.81
Value
$146.71
PnL
+$49.9
Record
51%
1741-1694 (3435)
Invested
$64.76
Value
$68.42
PnL
+$3.66
Record
38%
714-1185 (1899)
Invested
$68
Value
$100
PnL
+$32
Record
50%
4018-3992 (8010)
Invested
$55.98
Value
$60.06
PnL
+$5.15
Record
51%
2068-2013 (4081)
Invested
$47.13
Value
—
PnL
-$47.13
Record
48%
1139-1229 (2368)
Invested
$30.22
Value
$39
PnL
+$8.78
Record
52%
1296-1214 (2510)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$27.29
Value
$36.85
PnL
+$9.56
Record
47%
870-993 (1863)
Invested
$18.62
Value
$38
PnL
+$19.38
Record
49%
727-769 (1496)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$13.65
Value
$16.25
PnL
+$2.6
Record
74%
1022-354 (1376)
Invested
$9.55
Value
$10.28
PnL
+$0.73
Record
67%
2180-1089 (3269)
Invested
$7.88
Value
—
PnL
-$7.88
Record
60%
2327-1560 (3887)
Invested
$8.91
Value
$7.15
PnL
-$0.63
Record
62%
2512-1527 (4039)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.7
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.3
Record
52%
1676-1557 (3233)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.15
Record
48%
1442-1566 (3008)
Invested
$4.7
Value
$5.46
PnL
+$0.76
Record
63%
1521-902 (2423)
Invested
$3.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.1
Record
47%
1280-1435 (2715)
ohioism<$100Invested
$3.95
Value
$4.54
PnL
+$0.59
Record
48%
1250-1346 (2596)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
39%
807-1277 (2084)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.31
Value
—
PnL
-$0.31
Record
33%
629-1260 (1889)
Invested
$11
Value
—
PnL
-$11
Record
52%
4022-3759 (7781)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $242.77
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $146.71
13897651
Down — $68.42
bosona
Down — $100
soswald1
Down — $60.06
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp — $0
uninformedfloww
Down — $39

cryingbabydicer87
Down — $36.85
PBot-5
Down — $38