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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

16

Up 38%

Total Value

$209.53

Combined PnL

-$854.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 16 top traders (38%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares966
Combined PnL-$853.92
Down10 traders
Total Value$209.53
Total Shares210
Combined PnL-$0.87
Up — 38%Down — 62%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

SO
soswald1CTR
Up

Invested

$350

Value

—

PnL

-$337.35

Record

51%

2068-2013 (4081)

13
13897651
Down

Invested

$102.81

Value

$85.17

PnL

-$17.64

Record

38%

714-1185 (1899)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$40.89

Value

$47.37

PnL

+$6.48

Record

51%

1741-1694 (3435)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Down

Invested

$34

Value

$40

PnL

+$6

Record

52%

1296-1214 (2510)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$8.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.5

Record

52%

1676-1557 (3233)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

63%

1521-902 (2423)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.75

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.25

Record

67%

2180-1089 (3269)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$4.25

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.75

Record

48%

1250-1346 (2596)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$4.3

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.7

Record

47%

1280-1435 (2715)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$3.66

Value

$4.02

PnL

+$0.36

Record

62%

2512-1527 (4039)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.89

Value

—

PnL

-$3.89

Record

54%

1521-1314 (2835)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$2.49

Value

$2.97

PnL

+$0.48

Record

46%

1227-1428 (2655)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.62

Value

—

PnL

-$3.62

Record

33%

629-1260 (1889)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.56

Value

—

PnL

-$4.56

Record

39%

807-1277 (2084)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.5

Value

—

PnL

-$4.5

Record

52%

4022-3759 (7781)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x26fc1893...ffe4b6
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794492900

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

CTR

Up — $0

-$337.35
13

13897651

Down — $85.17

-$17.64
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $47.37

+$6.48
UN

uninformedfloww

Down — $40

+$6

MayorMamdani

Down — $10

+$1.5
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5

+$0.25
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5

+$0.25

ohioism

Down — $5

+$0.75
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $5

+$0.7
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