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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 36% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 36%

Total Value

$183.12

Combined PnL

-$502.5

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares776

Combined PnL-$514.53

Down9 traders

Total Value$183.12

Total Shares183

Combined PnL+$12.03

Up — 36%Down — 64%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 94.7¢	$70.11	$69.95	-$0.16	38% 714-1185 (1899)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 86¢	$43	$50	+$7	54% 1521-1314 (2835)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$14.98	$15	+$0.02	49% 860-907 (1767)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 96.5¢	$12.78	$12.16	-$0.55	67% 2180-1089 (3269)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 93.5¢	$10.77	$10.32	-$0.14	63% 1521-902 (2423)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 68¢	$10.9	$15	+$4.1	51% 1741-1694 (3435)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$5.68	—	-$5.68	48% 1139-1229 (2368)
SU suntori<$100	Downavg 82¢	$4.67	$5.7	+$1.03	47% 1547-1731 (3278)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 85¢	$2.52	$2.97	+$0.45	52% 4022-3759 (7781)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 85¢	$1.72	$2.02	+$0.3	62% 2512-1527 (4039)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.1¢	$2.51	—	-$2.51	33% 629-1260 (1889)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$3.37	—	-$3.37	38% 633-1050 (1683)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 5¢	$2.97	—	-$2.97	39% 807-1277 (2084)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

Invested

$70.11

Value

$69.95

PnL

-$0.16

Record

38%

714-1185 (1899)

Invested

$43

Value

$50

PnL

+$7

Record

54%

1521-1314 (2835)

Invested

$14.98

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.02

Record

49%

860-907 (1767)

Invested

$12.78

Value

$12.16

PnL

-$0.55

Record

67%

2180-1089 (3269)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$10.77

Value

$10.32

PnL

-$0.14

Record

63%

1521-902 (2423)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$10.9

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.1

Record

51%

1741-1694 (3435)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$5.68

Value

—

PnL

-$5.68

Record

48%

1139-1229 (2368)

Invested

$4.67

Value

$5.7

PnL

+$1.03

Record

47%

1547-1731 (3278)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$2.52

Value

$2.97

PnL

+$0.45

Record

52%

4022-3759 (7781)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$1.72

Value

$2.02

PnL

+$0.3

Record

62%

2512-1527 (4039)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.51

Value

—

PnL

-$2.51

Record

33%

629-1260 (1889)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$3.37

Value

—

PnL

-$3.37

Record

38%

633-1050 (1683)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$2.97

Value

—

PnL

-$2.97

Record

39%

807-1277 (2084)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 14 top traders (36%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%13 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf888ed28...2d9273

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794492600

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $69.95

ply-pm2

Down — $50

0x50f7

Down — $15

asdaefef

Down — $12.16

asidjasiodja

Down — $10.32

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $15

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

suntori

Down — $5.7

blue.birds

Down — $2.97

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