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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$179.43

Combined PnL

-$525.87

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares732

Combined PnL-$551.58

Down5 traders

Total Value$179.43

Total Shares179

Combined PnL+$25.71

Up — 55%Down — 45%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2370-1839 (4209)
13 13897651	Downavg 66.2¢	$97.62	$121.38	+$23.76	38% 714-1185 (1899)
BL blue.birds<$100	Downavg 80.7¢	$41.45	$24.06	-$7.49	52% 4022-3759 (7781)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Upavg 27.6¢	$40.26	—	-$29.68	51% 1741-1694 (3435)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 76¢	$15.85	$20.87	+$5.02	54% 1521-1314 (2835)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 84.2¢	$6	$7.13	+$1.13	62% 2512-1527 (4039)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Upavg 51¢	$5.1	—	-$5.1	49% 727-769 (1496)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 45¢	$2.7	$6	+$3.3	44% 1249-1571 (2820)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 6.4¢	$3.14	—	-$3.14	33% 629-1260 (1889)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 9.2¢	$7.01	—	-$7.01	39% 807-1277 (2084)
SO soswald1CTR<$100	Upavg 20.9¢	$6.64	—	-$6.64	51% 2068-2013 (4081)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

Invested

$97.62

Value

$121.38

PnL

+$23.76

Record

38%

714-1185 (1899)

blue.birds<$100

Invested

$41.45

Value

$24.06

PnL

-$7.49

Record

52%

4022-3759 (7781)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$40.26

Value

—

PnL

-$29.68

Record

51%

1741-1694 (3435)

Invested

$15.85

Value

$20.87

PnL

+$5.02

Record

54%

1521-1314 (2835)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$6

Value

$7.13

PnL

+$1.13

Record

62%

2512-1527 (4039)

Invested

$5.1

Value

—

PnL

-$5.1

Record

49%

727-769 (1496)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$2.7

Value

$6

PnL

+$3.3

Record

44%

1249-1571 (2820)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$3.14

Value

—

PnL

-$3.14

Record

33%

629-1260 (1889)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$7.01

Value

—

PnL

-$7.01

Record

39%

807-1277 (2084)

soswald1CTR<$100

Invested

$6.64

Value

—

PnL

-$6.64

Record

51%

2068-2013 (4081)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xf4356ee4...d3723b

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794492000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $121.38

blue.birds

Down — $24.06

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

ply-pm2

Down — $20.87

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $7.13

PBot-5

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $6

pspspsps5

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

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