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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 33%

Total Value

$245.67

Combined PnL

-$562.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares637
Combined PnL-$568.25
Down8 traders
Total Value$245.67
Total Shares246
Combined PnL+$6.05
Up — 33%Down — 67%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2370-1839 (4209)

SO
soswald1<$100
Down

Invested

$90.46

Value

$88.28

PnL

-$2.17

Record

51%

2068-2013 (4081)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$80.9

Value

$78.79

PnL

-$2.11

Record

38%

714-1185 (1899)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$60.2

Value

—

PnL

-$60.2

Record

54%

1521-1314 (2835)

BL
blue.birds<$100
Down

Invested

$33.08

Value

$35

PnL

+$3.57

Record

52%

4022-3759 (7781)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$10.75

Value

$15.23

PnL

+$4.48

Record

52%

1676-1557 (3233)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$9.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.6

Record

47%

870-993 (1863)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$7.44

Value

$8.15

PnL

+$0.71

Record

62%

2512-1527 (4039)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$4.65

Value

$5.16

PnL

+$0.51

Record

67%

2180-1089 (3269)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$4.6

Value

$5.05

PnL

+$0.45

Record

63%

1521-902 (2423)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.15

Value

—

PnL

-$6.15

Record

46%

1227-1428 (2655)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.9

Value

—

PnL

-$1.9

Record

38%

841-1390 (2231)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x9320ffe5...89b3bc
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794491700

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Down — $88.28

-$2.17
13

13897651

Down — $78.79

-$2.11
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$60.2
BL

blue.birds

Down — $35

+$3.57

MayorMamdani

Down — $15.23

+$4.48

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $10

+$0.6
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $8.15

+$0.71
AS

asdaefef

Down — $5.16

+$0.51
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $5.05

+$0.45
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