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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

Total Value

$200.29

Combined PnL

-$803.24

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares896

Combined PnL-$827.34

Down6 traders

Total Value$200.29

Total Shares200

Combined PnL+$24.11

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2343-1812 (4155)
SO soswald1CTR	Upavg 50¢	$350	—	-$314.35	—
13 13897651	Downavg 81.1¢	$97.23	$108.54	+$11.31	37% 700-1167 (1867)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 65.7¢	$36.32	$55.3	+$18.98	53% 1476-1292 (2768)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 78.7¢	$34.44	$18.06	-$10.29	51% 1663-1626 (3289)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 72.8¢	$14.33	$14.67	+$3.04	62% 2406-1470 (3876)
pspspsps5<$100	Downavg 96¢	$1.65	$1.72	+$0.07	33% 613-1228 (1841)
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	48% 803-867 (1670)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 50¢	$1	$2	+$1	48% 1106-1197 (2303)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 36.8¢	$1.95	—	-$1.95	39% 786-1234 (2020)
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100	Upavg 40¢	$10	—	-$10	52% 3991-3735 (7726)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2343-1812 (4155)

Invested

$350

Value

—

PnL

-$314.35

Record

—

Invested

$97.23

Value

$108.54

PnL

+$11.31

Record

37%

700-1167 (1867)

Invested

$36.32

Value

$55.3

PnL

+$18.98

Record

53%

1476-1292 (2768)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$34.44

Value

$18.06

PnL

-$10.29

Record

51%

1663-1626 (3289)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$14.33

Value

$14.67

PnL

+$3.04

Record

62%

2406-1470 (3876)

Invested

$1.65

Value

$1.72

PnL

+$0.07

Record

33%

613-1228 (1841)

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

48%

803-867 (1670)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$1

Value

$2

PnL

+$1

Record

48%

1106-1197 (2303)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

—

PnL

-$1.95

Record

39%

786-1234 (2020)

blue.birdsCTR<$100

Invested

$10

Value

—

PnL

-$10

Record

52%

3991-3735 (7726)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xea071b6b...f83bcd

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794485700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

soswald1

Up — $0

13897651

Down — $108.54

ply-pm2

Down — $55.3

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $18.06

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $14.67

pspspsps5

Down — $1.72

0x50f7

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $2

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

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