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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Resolved Down. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 29%

Total Value

$450.98

Combined PnL

-$513.29

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 14 top traders (29%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares548

Combined PnL-$521.96

Down10 traders

Total Value$450.98

Total Shares451

Combined PnL+$8.68

Up — 29%Down — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 50¢	$500	—	-$500	56% 2343-1812 (4155)
SO soswald1	Downavg 50¢	$350	$326.89	-$0.4	—
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 63.6¢	$31.51	$38.04	+$10.58	51% 1663-1626 (3289)
13 13897651<$100	Downavg 82.4¢	$48.66	$29.56	-$19.1	37% 700-1167 (1867)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 54.5¢	$13.95	$17.37	+$3.42	53% 1476-1292 (2768)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 86.4¢	$16.17	$12.72	+$1.19	62% 2406-1470 (3876)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$17.85	—	-$17.47	47% 1241-1387 (2628)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 64¢	$7.75	$10	+$2.25	55% 1235-1011 (2246)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$3.24	—	-$3.24	39% 786-1234 (2020)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 35¢	$2	$5.71	+$3.71	47% 1384-1531 (2915)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Downavg 35¢	$1.95	$5.57	+$3.62	62% 1464-882 (2346)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 35¢	$1.3	$3.7	+$2.41	66% 2096-1059 (3155)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 29¢	$0.41	$1.41	+$1	51% 1179-1131 (2310)
ohioismCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	49% 1222-1296 (2518)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2343-1812 (4155)

Invested

$350

Value

$326.89

PnL

-$0.4

Record

—

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$31.51

Value

$38.04

PnL

+$10.58

Record

51%

1663-1626 (3289)

Invested

$48.66

Value

$29.56

PnL

-$19.1

Record

37%

700-1167 (1867)

Invested

$13.95

Value

$17.37

PnL

+$3.42

Record

53%

1476-1292 (2768)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$16.17

Value

$12.72

PnL

+$1.19

Record

62%

2406-1470 (3876)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$17.85

Value

—

PnL

-$17.47

Record

47%

1241-1387 (2628)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$7.75

Value

$10

PnL

+$2.25

Record

55%

1235-1011 (2246)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$3.24

Value

—

PnL

-$3.24

Record

39%

786-1234 (2020)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$2

Value

$5.71

PnL

+$3.71

Record

47%

1384-1531 (2915)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$1.95

Value

$5.57

PnL

+$3.62

Record

62%

1464-882 (2346)

Invested

$1.3

Value

$3.7

PnL

+$2.41

Record

66%

2096-1059 (3155)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$0.41

Value

$1.41

PnL

+$1

Record

51%

1179-1131 (2310)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

49%

1222-1296 (2518)

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 14 top traders (29%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xa9944d6d...4490b1

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1794484800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

soswald1

Down — $326.89

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $38.04

13897651

Down — $29.56

ply-pm2

Down — $17.37

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $12.72

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $10

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5.71

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