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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 21% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

14

Up 21%

Total Value

$627.99

Combined PnL

-$458.19

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 14 top traders (21%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares510
Combined PnL-$501.45
Down11 traders
Total Value$627.99
Total Shares628
Combined PnL+$43.26
Up — 21%Down — 79%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2343-1812 (4155)

SO
soswald1
Down

Invested

$350

Value

$341.59

PnL

+$0.19

Record

—

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$78.27

Value

$85.71

PnL

+$7.44

Record

51%

1663-1626 (3289)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$53.37

Value

$69.31

PnL

+$15.95

Record

37%

700-1167 (1867)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down

Invested

$135.06

Value

$43.2

PnL

+$0.46

Record

37%

598-1014 (1612)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$21.62

Value

$23

PnL

+$1.38

Record

39%

786-1234 (2020)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$14.05

Value

$21.85

PnL

+$7.8

Record

53%

1476-1292 (2768)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$13.76

Value

$17.23

PnL

+$3.47

Record

60%

2276-1514 (3790)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7.07

PnL

+$0.21

Record

66%

2096-1059 (3155)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Down

Invested

$6.79

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.21

Record

62%

1464-882 (2346)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100
Down

Invested

$4.5

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.5

Record

46%

1190-1388 (2578)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

55%

1235-1011 (2246)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$1.38

Value

$2.03

PnL

+$0.65

Record

62%

2406-1470 (3876)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

38%

818-1357 (2175)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x4a486817...7eb3b8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794484200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
SO

soswald1

Down — $341.59

+$0.19
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $85.71

+$7.44
13

13897651

Down — $69.31

+$15.95
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $43.2

+$0.46

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $23

+$1.38
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $21.85

+$7.8
AA

aaa221

Down — $17.23

+$3.47
AS

asdaefef

Down — $7.07

+$0.21
AS

asidjasiodja

Down — $7

+$0.21
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