Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Resolved Up. 54% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
13
Up 54%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$51.34
Smart Money Signal
7 of 13 top traders (54%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92 | Upavg 50Β’ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
SO soswald1ARB<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $350 | $341.53 | +$15.22 | β |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $170.76 | $341.53 | +$172.33 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $156.12 | β | -$157.11 | |
![]() cryingbabydicer87 | Upavg 99Β’ | $131.67 | $133 | +$1.33 | 47% 809-896 (1705) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 48% 1106-1197 (2303) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.7Β’ | $31.12 | β | -$31.12 | 37% 700-1167 (1867) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 75Β’ | $15.6 | $20.8 | +$5.2 | 33% 613-1228 (1841) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Upavg 56.3Β’ | $8.7 | $15.46 | +$6.76 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 29Β’ | $13.51 | β | -$13.51 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $3.47 | $5 | +$1.53 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 55Β’ | $2.95 | β | -$2.95 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 79.3Β’ | $17.22 | $2.59 | -$4.89 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 52Β’ | $2.6 | β | -$2.6 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 67.5Β’ | $10.5 | β | -$9.16 | 55% 1235-1011 (2246) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 24.8Β’ | $2.23 | β | -$2.23 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$350
Value
$341.53
PnL
+$15.22
Record
β
Both legs:
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$131.67
Value
$133
PnL
+$1.33
Record
47%
809-896 (1705)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
48%
1106-1197 (2303)
Invested
$31.12
Value
β
PnL
-$31.12
Record
37%
700-1167 (1867)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$15.6
Value
$20.8
PnL
+$5.2
Record
33%
613-1228 (1841)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$8.7
Value
$15.46
PnL
+$6.76
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
Invested
$13.51
Value
β
PnL
-$13.51
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$3.47
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.53
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$2.95
Value
β
PnL
-$2.95
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$17.22
Value
$2.59
PnL
-$4.89
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$2.6
Value
β
PnL
-$2.6
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$10.5
Value
β
PnL
-$9.16
Record
55%
1235-1011 (2246)
Invested
$2.23
Value
β
PnL
-$2.23
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
Up β $500
soswald1
ARBArbitrage β excluded

cryingbabydicer87
Up β $133
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
Up β $30
13897651
CTRDown β $0

pspspsps5
Up β $20.8

G-Penis-Monster
Up β $15.46
ply-pm2
CTRDown β $0

OhioRiskManagement
Up β $5
asdaefef
CTRDown β $0