Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
13
Up 46%
$183.16
-$824.04
Smart Money Signal
6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
SO soswald1CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $350 | — | -$330.72 | — |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 25¢ | $15.63 | $62.5 | +$46.88 | 51% 1179-1131 (2310) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 27.4¢ | $49.48 | — | -$49.48 | 37% 700-1167 (1867) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 34.4¢ | $26.11 | $44.39 | +$18.27 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 94¢ | $21.62 | $23 | +$1.38 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $13.91 | $14 | +$0.07 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.91 | $14 | -$0.91 | 66% 2096-1059 (3155) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 74.7¢ | $11.41 | $15.28 | +$3.87 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 44¢ | $4.4 | $10 | +$5.6 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 62% 1464-882 (2346) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $17 | — | -$17 | — 7-10 (17) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Invested
$350
Value
—
PnL
-$330.72
Record
—
Invested
$15.63
Value
$62.5
PnL
+$46.88
Record
51%
1179-1131 (2310)
Invested
$49.48
Value
—
PnL
-$49.48
Record
37%
700-1167 (1867)
Invested
$26.11
Value
$44.39
PnL
+$18.27
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$21.62
Value
$23
PnL
+$1.38
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$13.91
Value
$14
PnL
+$0.07
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
Invested
$14.91
Value
$14
PnL
-$0.91
Record
66%
2096-1059 (3155)
Invested
$11.41
Value
$15.28
PnL
+$3.87
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$4.4
Value
$10
PnL
+$5.6
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
62%
1464-882 (2346)
Invested
$17
Value
—
PnL
-$17
Record
—
7-10 (17)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)