Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Resolved Up. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
15
Up 33%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
-$234.89
Smart Money Signal
5 of 15 top traders (33%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
SO soswald1 | Upavg 50¢ | $350 | $306.13 | +$11.32 | — |
13 13897651 | Upavg 48.6¢ | $132.68 | $160.37 | +$27.68 | 37% 700-1167 (1867) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 28.8¢ | $100.94 | — | -$80.57 | 53% 1476-1292 (2768) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 63.4¢ | $14.46 | $22.82 | +$8.36 | 38% 818-1357 (2175) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.6¢ | $22.91 | — | -$22.91 | 49% 1222-1296 (2518) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69¢ | $7.1 | $10.29 | +$3.19 | 52% 1537-1447 (2984) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 46% 1190-1388 (2578) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Downavg 77.6¢ | $14.08 | — | -$14.08 | 47% 809-896 (1705) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $9.07 | $1.85 | -$1.75 | 62% 2406-1470 (3876) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 91¢ | $4.55 | — | -$4.55 | 39% 786-1234 (2020) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $4 | — | -$4 | 60% 2276-1514 (3790) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Downavg 86.3¢ | $141.64 | — | -$141.64 | 37% 598-1014 (1612) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $12.45 | — | -$12.45 | 47% 1241-1387 (2628) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 9¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 47% 1384-1531 (2915) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 10¢ | $0.87 | — | -$0.87 | 44% 1205-1516 (2721) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Both legs:
Invested
$350
Value
$306.13
PnL
+$11.32
Record
—
Invested
$132.68
Value
$160.37
PnL
+$27.68
Record
37%
700-1167 (1867)
Invested
$100.94
Value
—
PnL
-$80.57
Record
53%
1476-1292 (2768)
Invested
$14.46
Value
$22.82
PnL
+$8.36
Record
38%
818-1357 (2175)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$22.91
Value
—
PnL
-$22.91
Record
49%
1222-1296 (2518)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$7.1
Value
$10.29
PnL
+$3.19
Record
52%
1537-1447 (2984)
Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
46%
1190-1388 (2578)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$14.08
Value
—
PnL
-$14.08
Record
47%
809-896 (1705)
Invested
$9.07
Value
$1.85
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
2406-1470 (3876)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.55
Value
—
PnL
-$4.55
Record
39%
786-1234 (2020)
Invested
$4
Value
—
PnL
-$4
Record
60%
2276-1514 (3790)
Invested
$141.64
Value
—
PnL
-$141.64
Record
37%
598-1014 (1612)
Invested
$12.45
Value
—
PnL
-$12.45
Record
47%
1241-1387 (2628)
Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
47%
1384-1531 (2915)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$0.87
Value
—
PnL
-$0.87
Record
44%
1205-1516 (2721)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
soswald1
Up — $306.13
13897651
Up — $160.37
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
antsaslyku
Up — $22.82
ohioism
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $10.29
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRDown — $0
cryingbabydicer87
CTRDown — $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up — $1.85