Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Up 33%

Total Value

$385.99

Combined PnL

-$435.1

Smart Money Signal

Up

4 of 12 top traders (33%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares630
Combined PnL-$537.56
Down8 traders
Total Value$385.99
Total Shares386
Combined PnL+$102.46
Up — 33%Down — 67%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$500

Value

—

PnL

-$500

Record

56%

2343-1812 (4155)

38
38791873984189
Down

Invested

$70.04

Value

$142.94

PnL

+$72.9

Record

48%

2083-2293 (4376)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$37.69

Value

$67.83

PnL

+$33.02

Record

53%

1455-1279 (2734)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100
Down

Invested

$70.62

Value

$61.67

PnL

-$8.95

Record

50%

1649-1618 (3267)

13
13897651<$100
Down

Invested

$47.13

Value

$46.05

PnL

-$1.07

Record

37%

692-1158 (1850)

09
0x0970...e369<$100
Down

Invested

$38.47

Value

$30.11

PnL

-$8.36

Record

—

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$14.8

Value

$25.3

PnL

+$10.5

Record

51%

1519-1433 (2952)

BL
blue.birdsCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$40.02

Value

—

PnL

-$12.66

Record

52%

3971-3716 (7687)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$22.9

Value

—

PnL

-$22.9

Record

60%

2246-1499 (3745)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$8.34

Value

$7.08

PnL

+$1.11

Record

62%

2374-1448 (3822)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$1.7

Value

$5

PnL

+$3.3

Record

47%

793-888 (1681)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

51%

1148-1119 (2267)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x26ec886b...3a35db
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1794480600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$500
38

38791873984189

Down — $142.94

+$72.9
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $67.83

+$33.02
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $61.67

-$8.95
13

13897651

Down — $46.05

-$1.07
09

0x0970...e369

Down — $30.11

-$8.36

MayorMamdani

Down — $25.3

+$10.5
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Up — $0

-$12.66
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$22.9
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $7.08

+$1.11
Trade on Polymarket