Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 100%
1 arb excluded
$653.31
$3.24
Smart Money Signal
7 of 7 top traders (100%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 56% 2343-1812 (4155) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50¢ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 50¢ | $250 | — | -$250 | |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $78.71 | $79.5 | +$0.8 | 74% 958-340 (1298) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $42.68 | $44 | +$1.32 | 39% 770-1217 (1987) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 95.4¢ | $14.37 | $12.81 | -$1.55 | 37% 692-1158 (1850) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90.7¢ | $5.44 | $6 | +$0.56 | 62% 2374-1448 (3822) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 76¢ | $3.8 | $5 | +$1.2 | 52% 3971-3716 (7687) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $4.1 | $5 | +$0.9 | 55% 1218-999 (2217) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98¢ | $0.98 | $1 | +$0.02 | 62% 1439-874 (2313) |
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
56%
2343-1812 (4155)
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$78.71
Value
$79.5
PnL
+$0.8
Record
74%
958-340 (1298)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$42.68
Value
$44
PnL
+$1.32
Record
39%
770-1217 (1987)
Invested
$14.37
Value
$12.81
PnL
-$1.55
Record
37%
692-1158 (1850)
Invested
$5.44
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.56
Record
62%
2374-1448 (3822)
Invested
$3.8
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.2
Record
52%
3971-3716 (7687)
Invested
$4.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.9
Record
55%
1218-999 (2217)
Invested
$0.98
Value
$1
PnL
+$0.02
Record
62%
1439-874 (2313)