Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
16
Up 69%
$90.6
-$592.05
Smart Money Signal
11 of 16 top traders (69%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
13 13897651CTR<$100 | Upavg 41¢ | $47.07 | — | -$47.07 | 37% 685-1150 (1835) |
09 0x0970...e369<$100 | Downavg 40.3¢ | $35.53 | $45.1 | +$9.57 | — |
BL blue.birdsCTR<$100 | Upavg 27.9¢ | $20.36 | — | -$20.36 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81.9¢ | $16.44 | $16.87 | +$0.43 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 65¢ | $9.75 | $15 | +$5.25 | 51% 1494-1420 (2914) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 53¢ | $4.82 | $9.09 | +$4.27 | 38% 803-1329 (2132) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $4.49 | $4.54 | +$0.05 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
 cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 64¢ | $3.2 | — | -$3.2 | 47% 783-880 (1663) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.3¢ | $24.25 | — | -$24.25 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 77¢ | $3.95 | — | -$3.95 | 62% 1422-863 (2285) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 89¢ | $1.15 | — | -$1.15 | 60% 2210-1484 (3694) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.44 | — | -$1.44 | 47% 1342-1509 (2851) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 46% 1152-1359 (2511) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 79.4¢ | $8.1 | — | -$8.1 | 55% 1208-984 (2192) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 47% 1200-1358 (2558) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
Invested
$47.07
Value
—
PnL
-$47.07
Record
37%
685-1150 (1835)
Invested
$35.53
Value
$45.1
PnL
+$9.57
Record
—
Invested
$20.36
Value
—
PnL
-$20.36
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
Invested
$16.44
Value
$16.87
PnL
+$0.43
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$9.75
Value
$15
PnL
+$5.25
Record
51%
1494-1420 (2914)
Invested
$4.82
Value
$9.09
PnL
+$4.27
Record
38%
803-1329 (2132)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$4.49
Value
$4.54
PnL
+$0.05
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$3.2
Value
—
PnL
-$3.2
Record
47%
783-880 (1663)
Invested
$24.25
Value
—
PnL
-$24.25
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$3.95
Value
—
PnL
-$3.95
Record
62%
1422-863 (2285)
Invested
$1.15
Value
—
PnL
-$1.15
Record
60%
2210-1484 (3694)
Invested
$1.44
Value
—
PnL
-$1.44
Record
47%
1342-1509 (2851)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
46%
1152-1359 (2511)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
-$8.1
Record
55%
1208-984 (2192)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
47%
1200-1358 (2558)