Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Resolved Down. 33% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 33%
$136.79
-$496.18
Smart Money Signal
3 of 9 top traders (33%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $76.73 | $77.5 | +$0.78 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 78.3¢ | $26.37 | $26.35 | -$0.02 | 37% 685-1150 (1835) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 39% 760-1197 (1957) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82¢ | $17.13 | $20.89 | +$3.76 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.9 | $5.05 | +$0.15 | 67% 2047-1024 (3071) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.3 | — | -$0.3 | 33% 596-1191 (1787) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $4.85 | $5 | +$0.15 | 62% 1422-863 (2285) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 69¢ | $1.38 | $2 | +$0.62 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$76.73
Value
$77.5
PnL
+$0.78
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
Invested
$26.37
Value
$26.35
PnL
-$0.02
Record
37%
685-1150 (1835)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
39%
760-1197 (1957)
Invested
$17.13
Value
$20.89
PnL
+$3.76
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.15
Record
67%
2047-1024 (3071)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.3
Value
—
PnL
-$0.3
Record
33%
596-1191 (1787)
Invested
$4.85
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.15
Record
62%
1422-863 (2285)
Invested
$1.38
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.62
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)