Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
12
Up 50%
$170.86
-$518.95
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92CTR | Upavg 50¢ | $500 | — | -$500 | 56% 2341-1812 (4153) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $68.86 | $69.56 | +$0.7 | 74% 942-328 (1270) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $72.74 | $59.65 | -$13.09 | 37% 685-1150 (1835) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 58.3¢ | $15.31 | $26.25 | +$10.94 | 52% 3955-3700 (7655) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $8.91 | — | -$8.91 | 53% 1437-1267 (2704) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $5.94 | $6 | +$0.06 | 62% 1422-863 (2285) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $2.4 | $5.33 | +$2.93 | 39% 760-1197 (1957) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $6.13 | — | -$6.13 | 60% 2210-1484 (3694) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 63¢ | $3.58 | $4.06 | +$0.52 | 62% 2344-1434 (3778) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 55¢ | $2.93 | — | -$2.93 | 38% 803-1329 (2132) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 44% 1174-1476 (2650) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 48% 784-863 (1647) |
Invested
$500
Value
—
PnL
-$500
Record
56%
2341-1812 (4153)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$68.86
Value
$69.56
PnL
+$0.7
Record
74%
942-328 (1270)
Invested
$72.74
Value
$59.65
PnL
-$13.09
Record
37%
685-1150 (1835)
Invested
$15.31
Value
$26.25
PnL
+$10.94
Record
52%
3955-3700 (7655)
Invested
$8.91
Value
—
PnL
-$8.91
Record
53%
1437-1267 (2704)
Invested
$5.94
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.06
Record
62%
1422-863 (2285)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$5.33
PnL
+$2.93
Record
39%
760-1197 (1957)
Invested
$6.13
Value
—
PnL
-$6.13
Record
60%
2210-1484 (3694)
Invested
$3.58
Value
$4.06
PnL
+$0.52
Record
62%
2344-1434 (3778)
Invested
$2.93
Value
—
PnL
-$2.93
Record
38%
803-1329 (2132)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
44%
1174-1476 (2650)
Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
48%
784-863 (1647)